Friday 8 November 2013

Criterium De Saint Cloud 10 Furlongs [Group 1 Colts and Fillies]


                                                       Criterium De Saint Cloud



Hartnell- Son of  Authorized who has finished in the first two in his last five races. Relishes soft ground and has already won over the ten furlongs, albeit in an egg and spoon race, so conditions are perfect. Only rated 97 though and will have to step up on what he has shown to take this Group One contest

Surspenders- Three race maiden who went down by half a length in a mile contest at Longchamp last time. His pedigree suggests he is a potential improver for the extra distance, but still rates a most unlikely winner

King Rubi- Son of Green Tune who was a 100,000 Euro yearling, and is a half brother to the useful More Than Sotka who raced for the same trainer owner combination, although he was campaigned at the Dubai Carnival by David Marnane. So far succesful only in a polytrack seller, and was found out at listed level the last twice, he would appear to have a lot to find to make an impact in this field

Bal De France- Beaten a neck over Ten Furlongs last time at Angers, which suggests he will not be winning this for his Japanese trainer

Rapido- German raider for trainer Andreas Lowe who won on his only start at Strasbourg over ten furlongs on soft ground. Heavy ground no concern and distance clearly not a worry, the dams two black type performers best at 10F+, and could be a player at rewarding odds for well respected connections

Prince Gibraltar- Rock Of  Gibraltar Colt who was a decent third behind Criterium International runner up Earnshaw on debut, before making no mistake on second start when easily taking a Maisons-Laffitte maiden at cramped odds. Those runs were in the care of Henri-Alex Pantall, but he has since been transferred to the barn of last years winning trainer Jean Claude Rouget. Gets Soumillon on board for the first time and everything looks there for a big run. The distance shouldnt be an issue, his full brother won over 15F, and he probably rates the best of the home team

Dylan Boy- Dylan Thomas colt who became the 7th foal that his mare has produced with a three figure RPR when 4th behind the aforementioned Earnshaw in a Group Three at Saint Cloud last time. Distance would appear well within his capabilities and gets Peslier on his back today, but still looks to fall a fair bit short of the required quality to take this

Mekong River- Aiden O Brien representative who bids to give his trainer a fifth win in this contest since 2001. Unbeaten in four and regally bred, dam a two time group one winner, he looks to have a lot in his favour. Won a listed contest over 9 furlongs only 6 days ago, but did it so easily that is unlikely to have left a mark. Looks to have a strong chance of enhancing his trainers excellent record in the race. The one to beat

Shankly- Monsun Colt who is a recent purchase for Qatar racing limited and arrives here having won on his only start to date at Salisbury in September. His dam was a listed winner over middle distances, also a half to champion hurdle winner Katchit, so he is bred to relish this extended 10 furlongs. The form of his maiden win is weak in the context of this race, runner up rated a flattering 82, but he was green throughout and never stronger than at the line, so can be rated a far bit better than the bare form. His trainer was originally quoted as saying that was him done for the year, but the new owners recent purchase has obviously changed that outlook. Wouldn't want to come in here as an afterthought and for that reason i will give him the swerve

Laugharne- Authorized Colt who was an impressive winner on soft ground at Goodwood last time over 9F. Breeding suggests this trip will be well within his compass and interesting Roger Charlton aims this high so soon after his maiden victory. Gets crack local jockey Maxine Guyon on board and could be one for each way players at decent odds

Free Port Lux- 220,000 Euro son of Oasis Dream who is pointed here having won on debut at Longchamp over 9F on soft ground. His Monsun sired dam was high quality racemare taking in a Grade One in the US and a Group Two in France over middle distances. Very interesting contender for his in form team and a definite player

Bereni Ka- Only filly in the line up and the most experienced galloper who will be making her 8th trip to the racecourse today. 4th in a Group Three over a mile last time, she would appear to need a fair bit more than her 3lb fillies allowance to contend in this field

Verdict- This race is always a searching test of stamina for a juvenile and you genearlly need a horse who is a likely to need 12F as a 3yo. Mekong river fits the bill being by Galileo and who posted a career best over 9F at Leopardstown on his most recent start. Factor in his trainers excellent record in the race and he looks tough to beat. The main dangers appear to be French based with last time out winners Prince Gibraltar and Free Port Lux both looking Colts of potential

1 Mekong River
2 Prince Gibraltar
3 Free Port Lux






                                     

Thursday 24 October 2013

Scott Dobson Memorial Doncaster Stakes [Listed]




                                                   Scott Dobson Memorial Doncaster Stakes


Stubbs- Danehill Dancer Colt out of Irish Oaks winner Moonstone. Was a beaten favourite in the Coventry Stakes having won his two races before that and the form of all three races does look slightly questionable. However this looks a suitable opportunity to get back on track after a four month break. Likely to enjoy the drop back to Listed class and looks the one to beat despite shouldering a 3lb penalty

Aeolus- By Araafa but still an impressive winner of his last two by a total of ten lengths. The runner up from his last victory has since franked the form with two facile victories, the lastest when defying a mark of 92 in a Newbury nursery. Clearly on the upgrade and cannot be ruled out for all that he will need a career best

Brave Boy- Two time winner who looked a useful sort when winning back to back races at Nottingham on his second and third starts. Was slightly disappointing on his all weather debut, bred for the surface, on his penultimate start. Before running okay without threatening the first two, winner useful, on his last start in the Rockingham. Connections reach for the visor today and it will have to eek out some improvement if he is to go close here

Deeds Not Words- Like so many from the stable has been very busy in his first year of racing. Looked ordinary on his first 6 starts before improving 20lbs when rattling off a hat trick on firm ground. Stepped up in class when taking in the Listed Two Year Old Trophy last time but finished well down the field. Always possible to forgive a poor run in that race, but still looks up against it against this opposition

Night of Thunder- Dubawi Colt out of a Galileo mare and looked to relish the conditions when a wide margin winner of a soft ground maiden at Goodwood on debut. Travelled like a good horse that day and it is unsurprising he steps up in class here. Likely to enjoy the ground conditions and would be foolish to underestimate

Rufford- The highest rated horse in the field who ran his best race by a margin on penultimate start when 2nd in the Mill Reef, his only start in soft ground to date. Was below that form last time when behind Brave Boy under faster conditions in the Rockingham. Ground should be ideal but still likely to be overbet for a horse who has only a maiden victory to his name

Verdict- Stubbs may have some questions to answer having not ran in over 4 months and having to shoulder a 3lb penalty against some useful rivals. But it must not be forgetten that he was Ballydoyles number one going into the Coventry and went off a short priced favourite for that race when finishing a respectable 6th. Dropping down in class here he can shoulder his listed winners penalty and get his career back on track. Once raced Night of Thunder may prove the biggest danger, especially if it comes up soft. Brave Boy can prove best of the rest

1 Stubbs
2 Night of Thunder
3 Brave Boy

Horris Hill Stakes Group Three [Colts and Geldings]



                                                       Horris Hill Stakes Group Three

Group Three which has struggled to produce a top class Colt since Tirol took the race in 1989 before going on to do the English-Irish Guineas double the following year. Other notable winners include Kris and Efisio. This years renewal looks a decent affair with five runners coming here having won on their last outing and one potential star arriving from across the channel

Anticipated- Winner of his first two races, but has been unable to win in his last six. His best run was a close up 2nd in the Molecomb and looks unlikely to improve for this step up to seven furlongs. Although rated 106 not difficult to pass over

Cordite- A wide margin winner of a soft ground Leicester maiden on his third start. That was his first start at 7 furlongs and so still can still rate unexposed. Interesting that his shrewd trainer is willing to sacrifice a mark of 85 to come here, but still looks to have it all to do

Day of Conquest- Two time winner who potentially ran into a good one when second to Scotland over 9 furlongs at Epsom last time. Readily beat 99 rated Safety Check the time before on the all weather and can be given a squeak in this

Extra Noble- Sir Percy Colt who has won twice and finished second from his 4 runs to date. Showed a smart turn of foot when taking a Kempton nursery off of 85 last time and deserves this step up in class. Still going to need a career best by some margin to become a group winner here

Galiway- Well bred Galileo Colt from the Andre Fabre stable. Only got up by a short neck on debut at Saint Cloud but was well in command under a cheeky ride. Master trainer always to be feared on his UK raids, and his first two year old runner here in years, Miss France was an impressive winner at Newmarket last month. Olivier Peslier comes over for the ride and everything points to a massive run. Surely must rate the one to beat

Invincible Strike- Expensive Colt from the James Tate stable who is arguably unlucky not to be unbeaten, having hung his chance away last time. Looked a useful sort on debut when comfortably beating the 85 rated Quickaswecan and could run well here at a price

Kickboxer- Suitably busy Mick Channon inmate who is making his 11th start of the campaign. His 3rd in the Cornwallis is easily his best piece of form and he comes here having been well beaten in a nursery off 79 last time. Really has no chance

Lyn Valley- Looked to be an improving sort before coming unstuck when stone cold last in the £100,000 sales race at Newmarket. Has to bounce back from that performance and his trainer continues to be in desperate form. On all known factors, looks up against it

Morning Post- Kevin Ryan Colt who arrives here having won nearly £200,000 after taking the Doncaster sales race and coming third in the valuable Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar on his last start. The former was his only run over todays distance but that looks a rare positive for his chances. Lacks the class to contend in this field

Piping Rock- Unbeaten Dubawi Colt who is two for two having taken a valuable newcomers maiden at Ascot on good ground before sploshing through the mud when taking a novices event at Salisbury by 4 lengths last time. Hard to weigh up both pieces of form but there is every chance he is a useful sort. Looks the pick of the Hannon trio and possibly the main threat to the French challenger

Trading Rock- Wide margin winner of a match at Leicester on his last start. Had ran with credit in stakes races the two times before that which has earned him a three figure rating. Possibly flattered by that mark and probably not good enough to be considered for win or place purposes

Verdict- Useful looking field but a prize that is likely for export over the channel. The well bred Galiway is the Colt in question and although he has only won an unraced maiden he still looks the horse to beat. The home challenge has a few useful sorts with the unbeaten Piping Rock probably rating the best. Day of Conquest and Invincible Strike also warrant a mention

1st Galiway
2nd Piping Rock
3rd Day of Conquest







Monday 21 October 2013

Racing Post Trophy [Group 1]




                                                         Racing Post Trophy


The most reliable of trials for providing Derby clues in recent years. With Motivator, Authorized and Camelot all doing the double since 2004. Aiden O Brien has been the dominant trainer in recent times taking out three of the past four renewals and he has three Colts entered. This years field looks a cracker, even with absence of Toormore, with numerous unexposed juveniles looking to make the step up to Group One level

Altruistic- Ridden and trained by 'Saturday kingpin' Johnny Murtagh, this Galileo Colt arrives here with one win from his two starts. That was on debut but he improved on that last time when beaten 2 lengths by the impressive Geoffrey Chaucer at the Curragh. Finished just behind useful yardstick Oklahoma City on that occasion and judged on that form he will have to improve to take a hand at the finish

Buanorotti- Third foal from the Group 2 winning sprinter Beauty is Truth, who has already produced 2 Group winners from her 2 runners to date. This one will likely keep that record intact judging on his nine length romp from a subsequent winner  at Tipperary last time. Possibly not in this company though and the early betting suggests he is the third string of the O Brien team. Cannot be totally dismissed but has to be considered an unlikely winner

Century- Looks to be the Ballydoyle chosen one as they look to improve their superb recent record in the race. His dam was a Group Three winner over six furlongs for Alan Jarvis, but judging on his debut a mile will prove his minimum distance. He impressed many that day, when bounding clear of a well regarded John Oxx Colt. Has a very attractive profile for this and has to enter calculations, bidding to give his sire a 5th winner of this race since 2004

Chief Barker- Unbeaten Colt who arrives here seeking a 4 timer for owners Middleham Park. Always seem to do just enough, he has won his three races by a total distance of a length, and had to re rally to keep his unbeaten record intact last time. However that form has since been well boosted by the runner up that day since bolting up in the Group One Fillies Mile. Still the suspicion is that he will need to improve if he is to join his team mate Toormore in becoming a top level winner this year

Dolce N Karama- Thistle Bloodstock maiden who is running here primarily to show off the owners Stallion The Carbon Unit. Will most likely do this by finishing last under Tadgh O Shea

Johann Strauss- High Chapparal colt whose coveted name and eye catching entries ensured he was hyped well before he made his debut in a Newmarket maiden. Was only 4th that day but was a massive eye catcher, coming from well off the pace to finish a never nearer 2.25 lengths in arrears. Was long odds on to break the maiden next time at Naas, but took an age to pick up before rallying late and was narrowly denied by the 96 rated Sniper. Really hard one to judge and he has been sneakily backed over the past few days, couldn't rule out a massive run but also couldn't rule out a terrible one. Definitely the enigma of the race

Kingston Hill- Unbeaten Colt from the in form Roger Varian stable who arrives here having won the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket in impressive fashion. That was a really likeable display, having been nudged along at halfway, he was brave in finding the gaps and came away for a ready success. The runner up Oklahoma City is decent, but would not be in the higher echelons of the O Briens juveniles. Respected, but looks plenty short enough in the market

Pinzolo- Monsun Colt who has made a tremendous impression on his two runs to date. Appeared to be the stable second string on debut when hosing up at Newmarket, runner up a winner by 8 lengths in a conditions race on Thursday. And then travelled all over his rivals in a decent five runner conditions event at Newbury last time. Only narrowly got up that day under a poor ride, and the collateral form through Pupil would have him behind Kingston Hill, but he can be rated a fair bit better than the winning margin. Looks to have a touch of speed about him despite his stout breeding and looks a massive runner here

Snow Sky- A wide margin winner of a Heavy ground maiden at Salisbury last time who has been supplemented for the race. That was a poor enough race, the runner up has since been beaten by further, and this looks far too tough. Priced up on connections rather than form and can be readily discounted

Somewhat- Consistent juvenile from the Mark Johnston team who ran a career best last time when narrowly going down to Berkshire in the Royal Lodge. That was a good run, although likely that it flattered him and it would be something of a disappointment should he prove good enough to win. Trainer form also a massive concern

The Grey Gatsby- Impressive winner on debut but has had his limitations exposed in better company since. Readily put in his place by Dewhurst also ran Outstrip last time and it would be a surprise if he could add to his trainers victory in 2005

Verdict- Super race in store and more than likely a massive pointer for next years classics. The selection is Pinzolo who has looked potentially top class is his two runs to date. The runner up from his debut performance payed a handsome compliment to the form on Thursday and he looks to have the correct blend of speed and stamina required to take this race. Century has to respected as the apparent number one from Ballydoyle, but he seems to lack the 'quotes' of some of their previous winners. Kingston Hill was impressive in the Autumn Stakes whilst Chief Barker beat a Group One winning filly on his most recent outing and both are respected . Of the rest Johan Strauss has had more column inches than his shorter priced stablemate and could go well at a price

1 Pinzolo
2 Johan Strauss
3 Century


Thursday 10 October 2013

Coral.co.uk Rockingham Stakes [Listed]




                                                     Rockingham Stakes Listed

A quality looking field, with a few unexposed sorts taking on rivals with more established form. The highest rated in the field is RUFFORD who gained a OR of 108 for finishing second in a muddling Mill Reef stakes last time. He looks flattered by his mark and is opposable. Second in on the ratings is FIGURE OF SPEECH who was fourth in the Mill Reef but was heavily defeated in the mud as Salisbury last time. He has become frustrating and comes with risks attached and so is readily passed over. Of the unexposed sorts MUSHIR is perhaps the most interesting, having won on debut at cramped odds at Kempton. He was very green that day, and rates a likely improver. BRAVE BOY was disappointing last time on the AW but looked very promising on his three runs at Nottingham, whilst OUTER SPACE although put in his place by Hot Streak, runs in the Middle Park, rates a danger. MYSTIQUE RIDER receives a notable jockey booking but is likely to find a few too good. I am going to take a chance on ONLINE ALEXANDER the only filly in the race who cost £100,000 and is out of a half sister to Red Clubs. Only rated 82 she has masses to find on the book but couldn't have been more impressive last time at Beverley when circling the field on the bridle before romping away from the 79 rated Sleepy Sioux by 4 lengths. HAIKBIDIAC carries an official rating of 102 in here having taken a valuable sales race and finishing third in a French group three last time. Despite his lofty rating he doesn't look good enough. BLURRED VISION remains a maiden after four runs and will still be one after five while northern raiders NO LEAF CLOVER and NORTHERN WATERS need to find masses  of improvement to get involved. The former having suffered defeat in a nursery off of a mark of 77 on his last start, and the former having found group three company much too tough when last of seven in the Sirenia stakes at Kempton

Verdict
1 Online Alexander
2 Outer Space
3 Brave Boy


Wednesday 9 October 2013

Vision.AE Rockfel Stakes Group 2 [Fillies]




                                                              Rockfel Stakes Group 2


In essence the fillies Dewhurst and a race which rivals its 'brother' in delivering classic clues for the following year. In the last decade classic winners Just The Judge, Speciosa and Finsceal Beo have all taken this race en route to classic glory in their 3 year old campaign. In all no less than 6 winners of this race in the past decade have delivered on their promise by becoming group one heroines in their classic campaign.

Al Tharika- A ready winner of a Yarmouth maiden, 2nd has since won easily at Wolverhampton, who has been recently purchased by the free spending Sheikh Joaan. Looked useful the first day and has to rate one of the more likely sorts in a contest lacking depth

Blockade- 3 time winner who finished a close up 8th in a Group Three at Ayr last time. I would suggest that is as good as she is and she doesn't appeal as a win contender

Hoku- Maiden winner who comes here having finished down the field in the Marcel Boussac last Sunday. This represents a drop in class but she still rates an unlikely winner and the stable seem to have a far stronger option in Lightning Thunder

Ifrika- Clive Brittain filly who has finished fourth in two maidens so far. The second of those was in a very hot race at HQ and so may not be the rank outsider she appears at first glance for a trainer renowned for tilting at windmills

Lightning Thunder- Clear form choice having been the only one to give the potentially top class Miss France a race in the Oh So Sharp Stakes last time. Another Miss France victim Indonesienne has since franked the form by taking the Group One Marcel Boussac on Arc weekend. There are no rivals of that quality in this field and the race looks at her mercy. A confident selection

Lustrous- Impressive winner on debut at Salisbury before running with credit when 4th in the May Hill. Did finish behind the 95 rated Lady Lara that day and that holds the form down somewhat. Still unexposed and has definite place possibilities but would need to find to trouble the favourite

Thewandaofu- Jamie Osbourne filly who has finished up in the runner up berth on her last three starts. Nearly won a decent nursery off of a mark of 73 last time, which shows the mountain she needs to climb to go one better today

Valonia- Qatar Racing owned filly who finished runner up behind the subsequent Group Three runner up Qawaasem on her first outing. Made no mistake on second start when taking a very warm Goodwood maiden before running a close 4th in a Group Three contest at Ayr last time. Despite being a beaten favourite that was a solid effort and she looks the main danger to the selection. Her first try at Seven furlongs

Ventura Mist- Middleham Park owned filly who has been a credit to connections and has won £130,000 in her ten runs to date. Despite such a workload she arrives on the back of a career best performance, when taking the Listed Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar last time. Steps up a furlong today but no reason why she won't be suited by it. Should run her usual solid race without being good enough to win

Verdict- Not a vintage renewal of a race won by last years Irish 1000 Guineas Heroine Just The Judge. The obvious starting point has to be Lightning Thunder whose 2nd behind Miss France was well advertised at Longchamp over the weekend. She ran into a good one that day and showed a willing attitude when defying a stumble in taking down two useful Colts the time before. She looks to have everything going for her here to become a Group 2 winner. Valonia appears to be the main danger having ran well in 3 tough races so far in her career, with the unexposed Al Tharika appealing for minor honours

1 Lightning Thunder
2 Valonia
3 Al Tharika










Vision.AE Middle Park Stakes Group 1




                                                    Middle Park Stakes Group 1

Often seen as the poor relation in comparison to the Dewhurst and usually contested by sprinting types more than horses that will excel at the classic distance. It still usually produces a winner worthy of group one status however, with recent winners including Bushranger, Dutch Art and 5 time group 1 winner Dream Ahead in 2009. This years event looks an open affair with 7 of the British contenders rated within 4lbs of each other with added intrigue arriving in the shape of two very promising Irish raiders

Astaire- A winner of 3 of his 4 starts and took the Gimcrack last time with a battling display from the front. They finished in a bunch that day and while the form is okay, the second has since finished a respectable 4th in the Jean Luc Lagardere, the suspicion is he will need to improve a fair chunk to take a first Group One

Bahamian Heights- The winner of a valuable nursery at York off of a mark of 90 three starts back. Has struggled when pitched into group company however and this by far the strongest field he has taken on. Readily passed over

Brown Sugar- Dual Group Three winning juvenile who seems grossly under appreciated. However even his biggest fans will admit a head defeat of the disappointing Figure Of Speech is a long way short of what is likely to be required here. I loath to write him off completely but he still doesn't appeal as a potential winner in this field

Great White Eagle- £760,000 two year old purchase by the Coolmore outfit who has begun repaying his extravagant price tag with two facile victories so far. Has twice finished ahead of Remember You who was beaten a length in a Fillies Group Three at Ayr and the bare form wouldn't be good enough to take this. However appeals as a potential star and looks a massive runner in this for his trainer who won it in 2004 and 2011

Green Door- Cheaply brought Camacho colt who has garnered three victories from seven runs for rookie trainer Olly Stevens. The best of these came last time when he was a shock winner of the Flying Childers at Doncaster. However that looked a rancid Group Two and he will have to improve massively to take a hand in the finish

Hot Streak- Superb looking Iffraaj colt who was dominant in taking the Cornwallis Stakes at Ascot last week. Entitled to take his chance on the back of that display, although it would be a concern that this may be an afterthought. Has taken a keen hold in his races but relaxed a lot more last time resulting in his devastating finishing kick. If in the same form he looks the main threat to the Irish raiders

Jallotta- Highly tried Mick Channon colt who wasn't good enough to take either of the recent sales races at Newmarket. Will be much the same story here

Justice Day- David Elsworth speedster who made his racecourse debut as long ago as April 19th. Has generally held his form well and won easily in a bog at Salisbury last time. Looks a few pounds shy of what will be needed here

Saayerr- Richmond winner who could finish only 6th under a 3lb penalty in the Gimcrack last time. Better off at the weights with the winner today and gets big race pilot Johnny Murtagh on his back. Another of this years group winning juveniles that looks vulnerable to something top class.

Shamshon- £420,000 purchase who won a weak maiden at Sandown on debut, albeit by 6 lengths, and then took a listed contest in France on second start. Was slightly disappointing when only 5th in the Mill Reef behind two of todays rivals and the suspicion is he is better than that. Perhaps worth another chance and a potential runner at a price

Speedfiend- Noel Quinlan Colt who looks more than good enough to pick up a maiden. Rated only 84 though so won't be breaking his duck today

Sudirman- Second Irish raider and the clear form choice having taken out the Group One Phoenix Stakes on his penultimate start and then finding only Toormore too good in the National Stakes last time. That form stands out in this field and he is a big runner for David Wachman

Supplicant- Comes here looking for a four timer having completed his Hat Trick when winning the Mill Reef last time. That was a muddling affair with the horse that finished last Trading Profit only beaten 2.75 lengths. He gets the Ryan Moore treatment today although that wasn't enough when the pair finished 5th in the Molecombe behind Brown Sugar. Needs to find to take this

Verdict- Excellent renewal which brings no less than 8 winners at Group Three level or above. That proves how open the two year old scene has been in the UK this season with many of todays rivals appearing evenly matched. Therefore it makes sense to focus on the two Irish horses both of whom look capable of fighting out the finish. Sudirman brings the proven form having beaten the Dewhurst favourite War Command into third in the Phoenix Stakes but Great White Eagle is completely unexposed and may be able to improve past him here. The selection was an expensive purchase and comes here unbeaten in two runs, and while he will have to improve on the bare form he looks very likely to do so. Of the rest you could give place chances to numerous runners with Shamshon perhaps worth another chance after his under par run in the Mill Reef. Hot Streak is also respected

1 Great White Eagle
2 Sudirman
3 Shamshon






Dubai Dewhurst Stakes Group 1




                                                          Dewhurst Stakes Group 1

The preeminent juvenile race on the calendar and one that is often won by the years champion freshman. Winners in the last decade include greats such as Shamardal, Sir Percy, Teofilio, the father and son pairing of New Approach and Dawn Approach and of course the greatest of them all the incomparable Frankel. The latter is the only home based winner since 2005 with Jim Bolger in particular enjoying an incredible record in the race with 5 winners in the past 7 years. He doesn't have a runner this year but Aiden O Brien brings over his impressive Coventry winner in an attempt to maintain Ireland's recent domination of the race

Anjaal- Richard Hannons sole representative who has won his last two starts. Won a muddling renewal of the July Stakes, race not really worked out, and will have to step up on that form to win this. Looks an unlikely winner

Cable Bay- Admirably consistent sort but who keeps finding one or two too good in his forays into group company. Has only a maiden victory to his name and let a winnable opportunity in a group three slip by last time. Very likely to run up to his mark and that mark is very unlikely to be good enough

Friendship- Aiden O Briens second string and very likely to be responsible for the pace. A decent sort in his own right but his limitations have been exposed with his two fourths in group company and one would have to assume, even if he was running on merit, that he would lack the class to do so

Outstrip- Classy sort from the Godolphin team who has only found Toormore too good in his career to date. Looked to be an improving horse when slamming Cable Bay in the Champagne Stakes last time and has to be respected as the sole choice of a barn with an abundance of juicy two year olds. Has every chance of taking the prize

Stormadal- Rated 88 having finished third in a mile nursery at Newmarket. Looks to be making up the numbers

War Command- War Chant colt who sprang to prominence when blitzing the field by six lengths in the Coventry.That may not have been a vintage renewal but he was still a mightily impressive winner. Bubble appeared to burst the time after when only third behind Sudirman in the Group One Phoenix Stakes but he bounced back to something like his best when readily winning a Group Two at the Curragh last time. Has to be considered the horse to beat for his master trainer

Verdict- A slightly disappointing turn out which on form looks a match between crack juveniles representing the powerhouses of Darley and Coolmore. Preference goes to the latter's Coventry hero War Command who arrives here having bounced back to form last time after his below par effort in the Phoenix Stakes. He is no good thing mind and it would be no surprise if Godolphins Outstrip improved past him having looked better than ever at Doncaster last time. The rest appear to be running for third and Cable Bay looks the most likely to grab that position

1 War Command
2 Outstrip
3 Cable Bay


                                             

Autumn Stakes Group 3




                                                                  Autumn Stakes Group 3

Often an informative contest with last years contest proving particularly strong with the first 6 all receiving a rating of at least 110 in their 3 year old seasons. The winner Trading Leather went on to Irish Derby success following in the footsteps of Dylan Thomas, who finished 2nd in this race when it was ran at Salisbury in 2005, before going to becoming an Arc hero as a four year old.

God Willing - Rare debutant winner from the Ed Dunlop yard before finishing a slightly disappointing fifth behind Miracle of Medinah last time. Would be too soon to right him off, his debut win has worked out, but needs more to contend here

Kingston Hill - Unbeaten having won readily on debut for a trainer who has a cracking record first time out with his juveniles. That was a taking performance although it is likely those in behind aren't up to much. Still unexposed and considered

Mount Logan - 135,000 euros yearling who is out of a full sister to group one winner Observatory who impressed when winning a mile maiden at Yarmouth last time. The form has yet to be tested but his Racing Post trophy entry suggests he is well thought of. Another unexposed contender who has the potential to step up

Nezar - Consistent type who is rated 96 having finished third, ahead of God Willing, in the Somerville last time. That would seem a fair reflection of his ability and likely to have to find more to take this

Oklahoma City - £675,000 colt who is from the family of crack stayer Kayf Tara who made a severe dent in that purchase price when taking the big sales pot at Newmarket last week. Had ran well in group company before that and has to be well respected in this line up

Pupil - Hannon colt who was well behind God Willing on debut. Was favourite that day, so obviously well thought of, and the money came again on second start when he made no mistake. Was a close up, likely he was flattered by the margin, third to the Racing Post bound Pinzolo last time and will need to improve to take a hand in this

Safety Check - Consistent sort from Godolphin who defied top weight in a course and distance nursery last time. Now rated 99 he is deserving of this step up in class. Likely to run a solid race but well enough exposed and it would be disappointing if he proved good enough

Sir Jack Layden - Produced a career best last time when finishing third to Berkshire and has been handed a 23lb rise on the back of that display. The handicapper thinks he has every chance in this, however i am not convinced. Even with Murtagh on board he looks an unlikely winner to me

Truth or Dare - Hat trick seeking colt who beat four time nursery winner comfortably on last start. That was a fair performance but slightly off putting that Hughes chose to ride Pupil. Think he may be underestimated by the market due to Hughes desertion and could go well at a price

Verdict- Open looking Group 3 in which Irish challenger Oklahoma city sets the standard. However he isn't being campaigned like one Ballydoyle have high hopes for and i want to oppose him. Finding a rival who could potentially run up to 108 is proving tricky though. I will take a chance on the supposed second string of the Hannon team Truth or Dare who relished the step up to a mile last time when dismissing a decent yardstick. Of the rest Safety Check can finish in the frame with the unexposed Kingston Hill rating as the dark horse

1 Truth or Dare
2 Oklahoma City
3 Safety Check





Monday 7 October 2013

£200 Free Bets @ Betdaq Nursery Handicap Class 2





                                                   Wednesday 810 Kempton Class 2 Nursery

A new race to the juvenile Calendar having been run for the first time last year when won impressively by the Godolphin Colt Tamarkuz

Claim The Roses- Ed Vaughan Colt who comes here having won two of his three starts to date. Significantly both his victories have come on a artificial surface, his one run on turf resulted in a heavy defeat, which is not surprising given his American breeding. Retains the hood that he wore last time and perhaps more importantly retains the partnership with Ryan Moore. On the balance of his form his rating of 88 may be on the heavy side but he is still unexposed, especially on this surface, and has to be hugely respected

Beau Nash- Richard Hannon colt who has been on the go a long time having made his debut on the 5th of April. Has for the most part held his form well, in the frame in five of his seven starts, but remains vulnerable to a progressive type off his mark of 85.

Finn Class- Really likable sort from the Michael Bell stable who has had no less than ten runs on his debut season but seems to be thriving on it. Probably ran a career best last time when narrowly beaten off todays mark. Rarely runs a bad race and still has some mileage from this mark, has to be well respected

Dream and Search- Expensive colt who makes his nursery debut having had three runs in maiden company. His first two runs were in hot maidens and the second of those was a commendable effort behind Mawfoor. Was disappointing last time however when only fifth at 9/4 in a weaker looking Newcastle maiden and that has to rate a backward step. Whilst connections are always respected, he doesn't have the profile of a handicap plot and he will need to show more to take this

Mime Dance- Notnowcato Colt who already looks like he is screaming out for more distance than todays seven furlongs. Didn't stop him winning on his penultimate start though and was only just held last time, when running on late. Looks feasibly treated off of 74 and has apprentice find Oisin Murphy taking off a further 3lbs. Should run with credit but likely to find one or two too good

Arrowzone- Bottom weight who would have a squeak on his second to Longton at Newcastle. That is his best piece of form by a mile though, ran okay in a weak Catterick nursery yesterday, and other look to have more persuasive claims

Verdict- A decent looking juvenile nursery which can go to the top weight Claim The Roses for the in form Ed Vaughan team. Unbeaten in two on the all weather he can can defy a 8lb rise and make it 3/3 on artificial surfaces. Finn Class is an admirable sort and would appear the main danger with Mime Dance also worth a second glance for apprentice of the moment Oisin Murphy

1 Claim The Roses
2 Finn Class
3 Mime Dance

Friday 4 October 2013

Total Prix Marcel Boussac Group One [Fillies]


                                                    Prix Marcel Boussac Group 1 [Fillies]


A race with a long illustrious history with a roll call which includes all time greats Miesque, Salsabil and more recently Zarkava

Veda- Impeccably bred Aga Khan filly who comes here having won cosily on debut over course and distance. Always have to respect the trainer in this contest, took it in 2007 and 2009, and interesting that she comes straight here having won the maiden that Zarkava took before taking this race. Has to be considered despite her lack of experience

Sandiva- Richard Fahey star who originally cost only £18,000 for her former owners but has proved one of the top juveniles around. Compiling a record of 3 wins from 4 races with her only defeat coming when second at Royal Ascot in the Albany. Richard Hughes takes over for the injured Frankie Dettori and judging on her impressive victory at Deauville last time she will be tough to peg back

Hoku- Consistent sort who has finished in the placings on 6 of her 8 runs. Her only victory came in a Windsor maiden and rated only 88 she will have to improve massively to get involved

Testina- Lawman filly who took a maiden at Saint Cloud on her last start having finished runner up on her first two starts. Her form looks a fair way off what will be needed to win this. Readily passed over

Kenzadargent- Cheap filly who has earned 4 times her purchase price in her 4 runs to date. However only 5th behind Lesstalk In Paris in a Group Three last time and no reason why she should turn that form around

Lesstalk In Paris- Unbeaten half sister to Dastarhon who took a group three last time at Chantilly in striking fashion, winning under hands and heels. Seems to be well fancied and definitely one of the more likely sorts in the field

Majeyda- Quirky Godolphin filly who has won 2 of her 4 runs to date. Was well beaten behind her stablemate Ihtimal in the May Hill last time and looks to lack the class to take this

Wonderfully- Full sister to Mars who went one better than her sibling when becoming a group three winner at Leopardstown in July. Hasn't cut much ice in her two tries at this level and this is arguably her toughest assignment to date. Gets the first time blinkers and the assistance of Ryan Moore but still looks an unlikely winner in this field

Stormyra- Four race maiden who has ran some solid races in defeat in group company but still looks well up against it

Princess Bavaroise- Henry Pantall filly who like so many of his was sent to Germany in search of rich pickings, when taking a £40,000 conditions race at Baden Baden by 3 lengths on her last start. She won a listed contest at Vichy by the same distance the time before and before that had ran the useful Vedeux to short neck. Looks to be improving and not to be underestimated for her wily handler

Queen Catrine- Recent purchase for the Qatar Racing team who has been campaigned exclusively over six furlongs. Has ran with immense credit having never been out of the first 3 in her career, the last 3 in group company, but just seemed to lack the finishing kick of her rivals over the sprint distance. Could well improve for the step up to the mile and looks over priced in the early markets

Indonesienne- Useful 2nd string to her owners bow having only been narrowly beaten by Miss France last time. That one franked the form when taking the Oh So Sharp stakes at Newmarket last week and is currently disputing favouritism for next years 1000 guineas. Her trainer won the Jean Luc Lagardere in 2011 so knows how to ready a juvenile for the big day and not to be discounted

Royalmania- Freddy Head filly who comes from an exceptional Argentinian family and she looks set to uphold the family tradition in France. A winner by 8 lengths on debut when an odds on favourite and a cheeky winner last time at odds of 1/5, she is completely unexposed and could legitimately be anything. Very short in the market for one who hasn't contested a group race and can only be watched at the likely prices

Verdict- As ever a belting renewal in which all eyes will be focused on the exciting Royalmania who comes here with a massive reputation having not come off the bridle for two facile victories. Yet she is very short and this is a massive step up in class and so she is reluctantly passed over on value grounds. The selection is the admirable Sandiva who has ran with credit in 3 countries in her short career. Slightly disappointing when a beaten favourite at Royal Ascot, she bounced back to form last time when taking a Group Three contest at Deauville. Obviously the travelling is not an issue and everything seems in place for a big run. This is a really deep field though and Veda, Lesstalk in Paris and Indonesienne can all be given a chance, whilst Queen Catrine is also interesting stepping up to a mile for the first time. All in all a cracking race in prospect

1 Sandiva
2 Royalmania
3 Lesstalk in Paris




Qatar Jean Luc Lagardere Group 1 2YO Colts and Fillies




                                                  Jean Luc Lagardere Group One


A group one open to Colts and Filles over seven furlongs which usually produces a top notch winner with the likes of Oratorio, Holy Roman Emporer and Rio De La Plata amongst the recent victors. Although it must be noted that it hasn't produced a classic winner since American Post who took this in 2003, two years after the race's best recent winner Rock of Gibraltar. This years race took a blow when crack juvenile Kingman was withdrawn with War Command another notable absentee but it still rates as an interesting affair

Al Muthana- Half brother to Libranno who comes here looking pretty exposed having had 5 runs. Only seventh in the Morny and a disappointing fifth in a group 3 at Chantilly last time which means it is isn't difficult to look elsewhere

Charm Spirit- Freddy Head Colt who was a winner of a four runner conditions race over course and distance last time. Probably entitled to win that day but did it well from the front, asserting late on for a comfortable win. The runner up is not one of the stars from the Andre Fabre team and will have to improve to take a hand here but still unexposed and represents top connections

Noozhoh Canarias- Spanish son of 2006 Foret winner Caradak who comes here unbeaten in three. Won his first two starts in his native Spain before heading to La Teste De Buch for a listed contest last time where he won readily by 3 lengths having made all. Hasn't run for over two months but his form has to be well respected and he looks a big player

Wilshire Boulevard- Only representative from Aiden O Brien who has won this race 7 times since 1997 and has to be respected for that fact alone. Certainly not one of the barns star juveniles but still comes here rated 110 having been narrowly beaten in the Gimcrack last time. A hardy sort who is sure to give his running but it will be disappointing should he prove good enough to win

Outstrip- Godolphin raider who has only found Toormore too good in his 3 runs do far. Was wildly impressive last time when readily dismissing two 108 rated juveniles by an easy 3 lengths at Doncaster. That form looks solid with the third a reliable yardstick and certainly looks one of the likelier ones here

Another Party- A winner of his first three races, disqualified on second start, at conditions level, he has found the step up to group level difficult to bridge. Has ran with credit to be placed twice in Group 3 company but was put in his place by today's rival Noozhoh Canarias by over 6 lengths on his penultimate start and it is difficult to see him reversing the form here

Karakontie- Looks the best of the home challenge having only met defeat once in his 3 run career to date. That was at the hands of the Chesham runner up Bunker, going down by a short head in a listed contest at Deauville. That is up there with the best form on offer in todays field but he probably improved on it last time when taking a Group 3 over course and distance, beating a Fabre hot pot into 2nd. Needs to be taken very seriously for his English trainer

Barley Mow- Represents last years winning connections but doesn't bring the standard of form that Olympic Glory possessed on arrival last year. A narrow winner of a maiden on debut, runner up beaten at odds on since, before being put in his place by Be Ready at Doncaster. It may turn out in time that he ran into a good one that day but as it stands he has it all to prove at this level

Baby Foot- Footstepsinthesand colt who lost his unbeaten record last time, going down by a short head in a listed contest at Deauville. The form of that race looks weak enough in the context of this event and the presence of Lingfield maiden winner Double Point in fourth, beaten 2.5 lengths, holds down the form. Would rate an unlikely winner for mine

Verdict- With the absence of Kingman and War Command this group one contest has an open feel to it, with any number of unexposed Colts looking capable of fighting out the finish. I have sided with Karakonite whose form in his last two runs demands he be taken very seriously. The main danger appears to be Spanish raider Noozhoh Canarias who arrives here unbeaten in three and impressed on his French debut last time. He will likely be a value play on the UK markets due to his understated connections. Outstrip was mightily impressive last time and has to be respected but the formative markets have him crudely short and he can be opposed on value grounds alone

1 Karakontie
2 Noozhoh Canarias
3 Outstrip







Thursday 3 October 2013

£300,000 Tattersalls Millions 2YO Fillies' Trophy




                                                   £300,000 Two Year Old Trophy


A race still in its formative days having been only run five times but one that has produced two winners who went on the become dual group one heroines in the shape of 2009 winner Lillie Langtry and Samitar who was victorious in 2011. 10 of the 14 runners come here having run in the designated trial ran over a furlong shorter a fortnight ago

Amesia_ Brighton maiden winner who finished down the field in the 'trial' for the race two weeks ago. She had the benefit of Johnny Murtagh on her back that day, she gets Shane Kelly today

Aqlaam Vision- A winner of a valuable nursery at Doncaster on her penultimate start before finishing sixth in the £100,000 sales races over course and distance. Was well fancied that day, went off 4/1, but was struggling a long way out. She eventually rallied to finish a creditable sixth beaten less than 4 lengths, should be suited by the extra furlong she encounters today, but still plenty of work to do to reverse the form with Wedding Ring

Broughtons Secret- Made her debut in the sales race of two weeks ago where she finished 12th. Likely to finish towards the back again here

Chess Valley- Impressive debut winner, form not worked out, who then finished third in a Nottingham nursery on second start. Only tenth in the trial race she looks up against it

Fashion Fund- Interesting contender, although still a maiden, for the Brian Meehan team. Down the field on debut she improved, as so many of her stables juveniles do, on her second start when beaten less than 3 lengths by the talented Lightning Thunder in a Newbury maiden. Improved again when third in the trial for this and must rate an each way chance with the always excellent Kevin Manning taking over in the plate today

Flippant- Expensive daughter of Pivotal who runs for South African connections. Ran in two strong maidens to open her career, beaten around 5 lengths in both, before making no mistake at Haydock over a mile last time. Cuts back a furlong here which is by no means certain to suit and passed over for that reason

Manderley- Was a beaten favourite when fourth behind subsequent group winner Princess Noor on debut at Kempton. That was a promising start to her career but she hasn't progressed from that display and comes here with a modest rating of 76 having finished down the field behind Wedding Ring last time. Doesn't look good enough

Modify- Bryan Smart filly who is rated 57 after 3 runs, looks outclassed here and probably one for low grade nurseries after this

Night Song- Uber impressive debut winner on the July course, when having circled the field she stayed on strongly at the end beating Casual Smile, rated 89, readily. Was slightly disappointing that she couldn't give Sound Reflection, well beaten in group one company since, more of a race last time, although her rival did get the run of the race that day. Back to turf and with a probable fast pace to aim at she rates as the one to beat for me

Oxsana- Was runner up in the designated trial race having only broken her maiden three days previously at Yarmouth. That was a monster run and if she is over her efforts after a two week break, she has every chance of picking up a share of the extravagant prize money on offer here

Two Smart- Very well fancied on debut at Yarmouth but could only manage sixth behind the since group three placed Sweet Acclaim. That was a strong maiden for the track which was reflected in her SP of only 9/1 for the £100,000 race a fortnight ago. Only seventh, albeit not beaten far, she will need to improve to get involved

Wedding Ring- The form horse on display who having finished third in two black type races, had no less than nine of her rivals behind her when winning the trial for this 14 days ago. Was entitled to win that day, but showed a very willing attitude when being attacked from both sides over a furlong out, eventually prevailing by a hard fought 1/2 a length from Oxsana. Has to be well respected in her attempt to follow up for her new jockey Martin Lane and she rates the obvious danger to the selection

Wedding Wish- Finished 7th behind Night Song on debut before showing improved form when 4th behind Rosehill Artist on her second outing. Gets big race pilot Johnny Murtagh on her back today but still rates a most unlikely winner

Zawiyah- Invincible Spirit Filly who finished second behind wide margin winner Radiator on her penultimate start. Improved significantly to finish a close up 4th in the trial for this and has to prove that wasn't a fluke. Readily dismissed

Verdict- No less than ten of the fillies who ran in the 6 furlong trial for this two weeks ago reoppose here and the winner that day Wedding Ring again looks the best of those runners. However it may pay to side with the one credible new shooter in the field, Night Song for the John Gosden and William Buick combination. An impressive winner on debut, she was slightly underwhelming in a four runner conditions stakes at Kempton last time. However there is every chance she will be seen in a better light in this bigger field and she rates a confident enough selection. Of the rest Oxsana and Fashion Field finished in the places in the trial and look likely sorts to do so again here

1 Night Song
2 Wedding Ring
3 Fashion Field


Friday 27 September 2013

Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes Group One





                                                           Cheveley Park Stakes


Group one race for the juvenile fillies which often is a good pointer for the following years 1000 guineas with recent French winners Natagora and Special Duty both returning a year later to complete the double

Alutiq- Admirable filly from the Eve Johnston Houghton stable who has had a busy year running seven times. Well beaten behind Joyeuse at Salisbury last time and no reason why she should reverse the form with that rival let alone win

Come To Heel- Unbeaten Irish raider who arrives here having beaten Hurryupharriet in a listed contest last time. That rival has since taken a decent listed contest at Ayr so the form has a solid look to it. Will have to improve but is unexposed and possibly has the scope to do so

Dorothy B- A beaten favourite on debut under considerate handling this £100,000 Exceed and Excel filly then readily beat the very useful Hoku, with the promising Online Alexander also in behind, on her second start at Nottingham. Stepped up to listed class last time she ran a super race, despite being largely ignored in the market, steaming home late, to run the re opposing Joyeuse to a neck. Whilst it would be dangerous to assume she was unlucky that day, my feeling is she is capable of reversing the form with that rival. Rates a lively outsider

Joyeuse- Frankel half sister who is carving out a reputation of her own having won two of three races to date. Narrowly got the better of the fast finishing Dorothy B in a listed company last time. She had previously finished third, beaten 3.5 lengths, behind Kiyoshi in the Albany. Ridden by James Doyle for the first time today and an unlikely winner for mine

Kiyoshi- Wildly impressive winner of the Albany, when winning easily despite drifting across the course. Didn't get away with that character fault last time in Ireland when put in her place behind Rizeena, finished 2nd demoted to 3rd, and must be a concern that the open spaces of Newmarket will not suit. Obviously loaded with talent but looks a risky proposition at a short price

Princess Noir- Winner of a weak maiden at Kempton on debut and then seemed to have her limitations exposed when well beaten in group company on her next two starts. Left that form way behind when springing a 25/1 shock in the Princess Margaret at Ascot, beating the useful yardstick Queen Catrine by 2.5 lengths. She got the run of the race that day, the runner up looked unlucky, and needs to improve again to take this. Gets the assistance of Johnny Murtagh and her trainer is currently enjoying a purple patch, so could run into a place but still looks an unlikely winner

Red Lady- Impressive winner on her second start, but well beaten in her other two trips to the track. Off for 99 days and rated 88 so not hard to look elsewhere

Vorda- French juvenile who only cost £9,000 as a yearling but that hasn't stopped her racking up an impressive resume having won  her first 3 starts before finishing second to the bull two year old No Nay Never in the Morny last time. That is the strongest piece of form in the race, had Rizeena almost a length in arrears, and with the French enjoying a good recent record in the race she looks the one to beat with Peslier on board

Verdict- A decent renewal but a race that looks at the mercy of  the flying French Filly Vorda. A winner of her three first starts she arguably ran her best race to date when second in the Morny, in which she had plenty of useful British juveniles behind her. Kiyoshi has quirks and can be passed over despite looking so impressive at the Royal meeting and Dorothy B can follow the selection home. She looks to be improving and can finish ahead of her Salisbury conqueror Joyeuse on this occasion. The rest look to be fighting out for minor honours and with the assistance of Johnny Murtagh Princess Noir can grab a place

1 Vorda
2 Dorothy B
3 Princess Noir

Thursday 26 September 2013

Aqlaam Oh So Sharp Stakes Group Three


           

                                                          OH SO SHARP STAKES
                                                                     Group Three


Gown- Charlie Hills inmate who was a fortunate winner of a Sandown nursery off of 72 on her penultimate outing. Was unable to win off 76 in a nursery on her most recent start and looks to be flying too high in this company

Lightning Thunder- Unbeaten filly who comes here having won a conditions race at Doncaster last time. The runner up that day Justice Day is a useful tool, albeit likely flattered by his OR of 101, and her performance can be upgraded as she had a difficult passage early on. Showed a good attitude to get up close home that day and very much respected back against her own sex

Midnite Angel- Richard Hannon juvenile who despite having won only one of her seven starts comes here with the arguably the strongest form in the book. Her seconds behind J Wonder and Ihtimal stand up to scrutiny in this field and although slightly disappointing last time she still ran with credit behind the potentially top class Amazing Maria. Rated 97 it is likely she will find one or two too good but should run her usual honest race

Miss France- Well bred Andre Fabre filly who arrives here on the back of a conditions race victory at Chantilly last time. Obviously difficult to weigh up that form, needs to improve on RPRs, but is trained by a master and doubtful she is coming over to make up the numbers. Very much one to take seriously with Mickael Barzalona on board

Radiator- The X factor of the field who routed her rivals by 15 lengths at Lingfield on her second start. Would be natural to assume that wasn't a great race but the second was only beaten 2.5 lengths by group placed Wedding Ring next time at HQ. From an incredible family and obviously has any amount of talent, but may be an all or nothing type, beaten 10 lengths on debut, and has to be opposed purely on value grounds here

Sleep Sioux- Winner of a Bath maiden on her fifth visit to the racecourse and highly unlikely to follow up here

Stealth Missile- Has contested two Ascot maidens finishing down the field on debut before springing a 25/1 surprise last time out. Not sure that was a strong maiden, for all that the fifth was an impressive winner on Wednesday. Looks like a classic example of Clive Brittain aiming too high

Suite- Debut winner who has had her limitations exposed since. Only 6th in her last two runs off of a mark of 88 she looks to be out of her depth in this company

Sweet Acclaim- From a mare who had produced four winners from four runners and who cost £100,000, so it was therefore surprising she was allowed to go off at 40/1 on debut at Yarmouth. That looked a decent maiden for the track, but she made it into a procession winning eased down. Likely she has been found a warm heat but definitely has potential and could run into a place at big odds

Verdict- A race that revolves around the impeccably bred Radiator who having won by a furlong last time is as short as 12/1 for next years 1000 guineas. However she was well beaten, when fancied, on debut and at the current odds has to be taken on. A credible opponent can be found in the shape of Lightning Thunder who is unbeaten and showed a willing attitude to win against the boys last time. Her trainer has been talking up a trip to Paris on Arc weekend and she will have to take this if she is to make the trip across the channel. Coming the other way is Miss France who is a very rare two year old runner on these shores for her faultless trainer and she has to be taken very seriously. Of the rest Sweet Acclaim looked useful on debut and can make the frame at rewarding odds

1 Lightning Thunder
2 Miss France
3 Sweet Acclaim


Wednesday 25 September 2013

Somerville Tattersalls Stakes Group Three



                                                 
                                                  Somerville Tattersalls Stakes

Seven furlong contest for the Colts which is often won by a useful sort, with top flight victors Havana Gold, Aussie Rules and Milk it Mick on the roll honour in recent times. This years renewal has lost some appeal with Berkshire instead taking in the Royal Lodge stakes on Saturday, but with a few unexposed talented juveniles it should still prove an informative contest

Brazos- Has a maiden win to his name after five starts and well beaten in stakes contests the last twice. Looks exposed and only rated 90 and has it all to do to win in this company, even allowing for in form connections

Cable Bay- The highest rated in the field having ran with credit on his last three runs all in group company. Was on the face of it slightly disappointing last time when well beaten by Outstrip, but only finished narrowly behind The Grey Gatsby and that form entitles him to be bang there in this field. Probably deserves to win a group race, but just leaves the impression that he isn't quite classy enough to get it done

Championship- The most intriguing runner in the field for the Hannon stable. Won the 'Coventry' maiden at Newbury and duly went to Ascot next time to tackle that race. Going off a strongly fancied 6/1 shot he was one of the first beaten, eventually beating only the 200/1 rag home. Obviously well thought of and obviously talented but it will take a leap of faith to fancy him here having not ran for 100 days

God Willing- Expensive juvenile who was a rare debutant winner for the Ed Dunlop team when triumphing at Newbury. The betting that day suggested he was forward enough to do himself justice, but it was still nonetheless a taking performance. Travelling comfortably throughout he was always doing enough to hold the runner up, who had the benefit of previous experience. The form of that race is solid enough for all that the Second has disappointed since. Worth this step up in class and although Spencer is on board today can't be ruled out

Mawfoor- Outran his odds when second behind stablemate Windfast, not seen since, before breaking his maiden on second start when defeating the useful Safety Check. Was quietly fancied in some corners for the Coventry where he ran a respectable Eighth behind War Command. Wasn't seen again until two weeks ago when running third in a messy sales race last time. That was a highly encouraging return and if he improves from it he would have an outside chance

Miracle Of Medinah- Has been a revelation for Mark Usher winning three times including at Listed level. Not so good the last twice and would need a career best by some way to take this

Nezar- Winner on debut before being worried out of it close home by an unbeaten Hannon Colt on second start. On his third start he was unlucky not to take the big pot at York when getting too far back before flying late to finish a never nearer third. The form of that race looks strong with the 5th that day Rufford, carrying the same weight as Nezar, finishing 2nd in last weeks Mill Reef stakes. Comfortably won a Chester nursery last time, when 15lb well in, and has a progressive profile. Every chance of bridging the gap to group winner and a big player here

Silent Bullet- Unbeaten Godolphin Colt who arrives here having won his two races to date. Readily beat a 72 rated animal on debut and then stepped up to conditions class when narrowly beating Safety Check in a messy three runner conditions race at Haydock. Probably had more in hand over his stablemate than the winning margin suggests and has to be considered for his all conquering stable

Verdict- An interesting renewal in which the obvious starting point would be Cable Bay. Rated 108 he has a level of form the others have yet to achieve, yet for all that it would be disappointing if he proved good enough. A chance is taken on Nezar, who despite having only won a weak nursery off of 81 last time has the profile of a progressive horse. Arguably unlucky not to be unbeaten after four runs he can take the step up in class in his stride. Championship is a difficult horse to assess following his long break and the unbeaten pair of God Willing and Silent Bullet could 'still be anything'

1 Nezar
2 Cable Bay
3 God Willing




Thursday 19 September 2013

Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes





                                                          Mill Reef Stakes Group Two


Group Two contest for the juveniles which usually produces a useful sort who will go onto excel between six furlongs and a mile in their classic season. Recent winners include Excellent Art, Dark Angel and Galeota. This years field includes some familiar rivals who have been slugging it out in group contests all year, with a couple of new shooters adding a new dimension to the picture

Anticipated- Early season speedster who has been on the go since April. He showed enough dash in two early season wins to go off favourite in the Windsor Castle, running with credit when finishing third. His last three runs have consisted of a narrow second to Brown Sugar sandwiched between two slightly disappointing efforts in France. Would be slightly underwhelming if he proved good enough

Cable Bay- Another who has danced a few dances at Group level since winning his maiden without taking first prize. Only ran a week ago when only third of four behind the impressive outstrip and although respected, joint highest rated in the field, the suspicion is he will come up slightly short once more

Complicit- Unexposed type who hails from a yard who is enjoying a renaissance with his juveniles this year. Made his debut in a traditionally strong Deauville maiden finishing sixth as favourite, albeit not beaten far. Went to Ripon next time when beating serial runner up Genuine Quality into second and although that form is way short of the standard required here, he was troublesome at the start and green throughout so can be judged a fair deal higher than the bare result. Place possibilities at a big price

Figure Of Speech- Only entry from Godolphin and well respected on that alone considering their record in these races this term. Impressive on debut when slamming 98 rated Whaleweigh Station by four lengths, he then was perhaps then unlucky when a narrow second in the July Stakes on his second go. Disappointing in his next two starts, he bounced back to something like his best when chasing home Brown Sugar on the all weather on last start. That form is among the best on show and he has to be a contender for his red hot team

Hot Streak- Impressive winner of his first two starts including a listed contest on second start. That was a weak race for the grade, main rival scratched, but he couldn't have done it more impressively. Therefore it was disappointing he couldn't run a bit better when only fifth behind Brown Sugar last time at Kempton. He may have been poorly drawn that day, but he still lacked the spark he showed on his first two starts. If bouncing back from that display he could be a dark horse in this back on turf

Rufford- Impressive winner of a York maiden on debut but slightly disappointing since. Only third behind Cool Bahamian at 4/7 on second start he then was beaten as favourite when only fifth in the DBS yearling premier stakes at York last time. If he couldn't win that he is unlikely to win this, and only rated 92 he looks up against it here

Shamshon- The X factor of the field who comes here unbeaten and highly rated after two facile victories on either side of the channel. Cost the Al Thani operation 420,000 guineas as a yearling and went some way to justifying his extravagant price tag when slamming an over matched field by five lengths hard on the steel. Had to work a bit harder when taking a listed contest at Deauville on second start, 88 rated Quator the only other UK raider was back in 7th, but asserted close home for a ready win. Expected to take the step up to group two company in his stride and the one to beat in my opinion

Supplicant- Consistent sort for Cheveley Park who has won three of six races to date but arguably ran to a higher level in his three defeats. Has been dropped down in class to get his head in front on his last two runs, since his traffic issues in the Molecombe, but needs to improve to complete the hat trick. More likely a place prospect than a win proposition for mine

Trading Profit- Left his debut run behind him when an impressive four length winner of a Windsor maiden last time. Had a few winners in behind that day but the form is held back by the 75 rated second. Takes a massive leap in class here and unlikely to be able to bridge it

Verdict- A race that revolves around Shamshon, with the rest key players appearing evenly matched and pretty much exposed. I firmly believe he can bridge the gap from listed class to take this before aiming for Group One honours before the end of the season. Figure of Speech, who bounced back to form last time, would appear the main threat, with Cable Bay another who looks to have an obvious chance of grabbing a place

1 Shamshon
2 Figure of Speech
3 Cable Bay



Monday 16 September 2013

Rachel Keatley Memorial Nursery Handicap




                                              300 Yarmouth 17th September
                                                   Nursery Class 4 0-85

A six runner nursery which looks to contain some useful types who could go on their way to better things, although they will do well to emulate Rebel Rebel who went on to finish second in the 2000 guineas having taken this in 2004

Dancealot- Decent sort who ran into two classy fillies on her first two starts, when finishing runner up on both occasions. Then took in a trio of races at Newmarket culminating in a win in a decent nursery off 73. Possibly flattered by the margin of defeat in a listed contest at Salisbury last time, winner under performed, rated 85 on the back of that and will have to produce a career best to take this giving weight to all her rivals

Ghaawy- Michael Stoute juvenile who was well thought enough to go off favourite in a Newmarket maiden on debut. Finished down the field on that occasion but showed plenty of promise when finishing third, beaten 3/4 length, to subsequent listed winner Chief Barker on his next go. Made no mistake on third start when breaking the maiden at odds on at Chepstow last time and comes here with a progressive profile. Very much Respected

If- Has a Brighton maiden to his name after four runs.Only third off this mark last time in a weaker looking nursery and looks up against it here

Solidarity- Godolphin inmate who was very well backed on debut at Sandown but fell out of the stalls and came home a remote seventh. Much improved on second start when he made winning comfortably over nine furlongs at Epsom. Had that race wrapped up a fair way from home, so the drop in trip shouldn't pose a problem. Looks potentially useful and could be nicely weighted here off 77, every chance he will be yet another two year old winner for the boys in blue

Newmarket Warrior- Michael Bell Colt who comes here having ran three solid races without threatening the judge. His middle run when placed behind the useful Expert was much his best and if he can reproduce that form he would have a chance. However on the balance of his form he is likely to find a few too good

Aspenbreeze- Rated 53 and runs here miles out of the handicap, looks outclassed

Verdict- A potentially useful field chasing the pitiful £3700 first prize and Solidarity looks best in at the weights for his red hot team. The betting suggested he was useful prior to his debut, but he was clueless throughout, trailing home a well beaten seventh. Improved a bundle when breaking his duck on his second start and must be every chance he is considerably better than a mark of 77. Dancealot is a likeable sort from a trainer who two year old's continue to do well but it is possible Ghaawy will prove more of a threat to the selection

1 Solidarity
2 Ghaawy
3 Dancealot




Friday 13 September 2013

At The Races Champagne Stakes



                                                Champagne Stakes Group Two


Seven furlong group two for the juveniles which has an impressive roll of honour with the likes of Lucky Story, Poets Voice and Toronado being recent winners of the race.

Anjaal- The only penalised runner in the race having won the Group Two July Stakes at Newmarket. That race is tricky to assess form wise with a couple of notable disappointments offsetting the subsequent group wins of the sixth and tenth. Needs respecting but likely that his 3lb penalty will prove too heavy a burden

Cable Bay- Charlie Hills colt who brings in a level of form which has garnished an official rating of 108. Second in the Richmond and Fourth in the Gimcrack he is likely to suffer the same fate here. Unlikely to be good enough for win purposes

Outstrip- One of the seemingly endless amount of group class juveniles in the Godolphin barn this year. Narrowly beaten by the potentially top class Toormore last time in the vintage stakes. Possibly got the run of the race that day but even if flattered, that is the strongest form in the field by some way. Every chance he could take another good prize for his all conquering team

Picks Pinta- Well punted winner of a rancid Brighton maiden last time, rated 69 and has stones to find to be competitive. Will pick up £1200 for finishing sixth though

The Grey Gatsby- £120,000 2yo who ran a race full of promise when besting the useful Brazos on debut at York. Was very green that day so it was a touch disappointing he didn't find enough improvement to take the Acomb on his second outing. Still looked a work in progress that day and likely we have yet to see the best of him. A big player if putting it all together

Treaty of Paris- Henry Candy colt who put his experience to good use when benefiting from a crafty front running ride when holding the strongly finishing The Grey Gatsby by a neck to take the Acomb last time. Seemed to have his limitations exposed the time before that when slammed by six lengths in a Newmarket Conditions race and will likely have his hands full attempting to confirm the form with the runner up today

Verdict- Yet another two year old group race this year which lacks a stand out candidate. Anjaal arrives as the only horse to have won at this level before but he is likely to have to improve on his July Stakes win in order to defy the 3lb penalty here. Godolphin have an insanely strong set of juveniles this year and Outstrip was only nabbed close home by Toormore last time and that form needs respecting. However a chance is taken on The Grey Gatsby who has shown an abundance of talent on his two runs to date but has also showed traits of greenness. He hit a flat spot before rallying last time when beaten a head by Treaty of Paris and gives the impression there is plenty more to come. If he unlocks the key to that talent today he will be mighty hard to beat

1 The Grey Gatsby
2 Outstrip
3 Treaty of Paris




Thursday 12 September 2013

Barrett Steel May Hill Stakes Group 2 Fillies





                                                               May Hill Stakes Group Two

Group Two for Two year old fillies which almost always produces a talented winner, having been won by Group One winners Kinnaird, Playful Act, Simply Perfect, Rainbow View, White Moonstone Lyric of Light and Certify in the last decade. Looks to be lacking a superstar this year but still a talented field nonetheless

Halljoy- Clive Brittain runner who has finished third on her three runs to date. Each of those runs were respectable and the winners of those races all look up to group class. Her trainers two year olds remain in great heart, however is still a maiden and would have to improve to take this.

Ihtimal- The class act of the field for connections who have won the past three running's of this race all with fillies who went on to take the Group One Fillies Mile on next start. An easy winner last time in group three company and a fine third in an extremely strong Chesham Stakes behind Berkshire the time before, she has extremely strong credentials. Tough to beat

Lady Lara- Four race maiden who made her debut at the Royal Meeting when midfield in the Albany. Has ran with credit since, finishing second to the useful Hot Coffee before again finishing midfield in a couple of group three contests. Needs to step up to break the maiden in this field

Lustrous- Unexposed filly from the Richard Hannon team who comes here straight from maiden company. Impressed that day at Salisbury when winning readily by two lengths. 82 rated horse finished in third beaten three lengths holds the form down to some extent but she done it nicely and could still be anything

Majeyda- Listed winner last time who wears the Godolphin white cap, she was wildly impressive when bolting up on debut. It was therefore slightly disappointing she couldn't bridge the gap to Listed class on her next start, finishing fifth albeit only beaten 1.25 lengths behind Fig Roll. Made amends in Listed company last time when impressing with her attitude when knuckling down to beat Qawaasem and represents a useful second string for her owners

Qawaasem- 100 rated filly who has yet to finish out of the frame in her 4 runs to date. Worried out of it close home by Majeyda on her penultimate start she then chased home the super impressive Amazing Maria last time at Goodwood. Nothing of that ones quality in here but still gives the impression she may not quite have the class for this level

Vivere- Montjeu filly from the O Meara yard who was a big eye catcher when a staying on third over seven furlongs at Ayr on debut. Winner has gone in again since and on pedigree should relish the extra furlong. Possibly significant that her shrewd trainer has come here on the back of that and could be a player at massive odds

Verdict

Ihtimal appeals as the most likely winner but a chance is taken on Vivere, who is related to a stack of useful middle distance horses, and looked useful when third on debut over a furlong shorter. Interesting that she comes here looking for black type rather than sticking in maiden company and she is capable of springing a big upset. Of the rest Godolphins second string Majeyda looks the most solid option emphasising the strength in depth that operation has in the juvenile department this year

1 Vivere
2 Ihtimal
3 Majeyda



Wednesday 11 September 2013

Wetherbys Hamilton Insurance £300,000, 2YO Stakes




                                                               £300,000 2YO Stakes

As you would expect for the money on offer this is a competitive heat with 22 juveniles chasing the £175,000 first prize. Whilst lacking a bona fide superstar this year, unlike in 2010 when Wooton Bassett took the pot, the big yards and the big owners are well represented

Morning Post- Promising on debut but has regressed since, won't be winning here carrying 9-2

Zaraee- First of four entries for Sheikh Hamdan and an interesting type having won 2 of his 3 races to date. Impressive on debut, albeit in beating a disappointing sort, he then went down narrowly to the useful Andhesontherun. A routine winner from two useful sorts at Chester last time, he has a progressive profile for a trainer who has his juveniles firing. Wears the black cap here and is ridden by Dane O'Neill so a chance he may fly under the radar. A big player

Tanseeb- Gets the green cap for the Hamdan team but is a likable sort and proved himself in a big field scenario when finishing second to Flying Bear, winner since, in a Goodwood Nursery last time. Likely to run his race without being quite classy enough

Ben Hall- The class angle of the race being the only runner with a three figure official rating. Achieved that in being beaten less than 3 lengths in the Richmond Stakes. Every chance that was a poor race for the grade, the first five all beaten next time out, and having only won a poor maiden to date he is opposable in this at the likely prices

Captain Bob- Four race maiden who is not without talent, but whose form has plateaued of late. Will probably be good enough to win a maiden down the line but his rating of 79 shows the improvement he needs to find to take this

Malachim Mist- Had no less than 7 winners in behind when breaking his maiden on second start at Goodwood. Although not out of the first two since he hasn't really kicked on from that display. Abandoned by Hughes and unlikely to have the toe of some of his rivals

Suzi's Connoisseur- Comes here on the back of a listed win at Baden Baden. Whilst it is often unwise to underestimate German form in general their juvenile scene on the whole is pretty weak. Better judged on his UK form which on balance would not be good enough

Tanzeel- Intriguing runner from the Charlie Hills stable who carries the first colours of the Hamdan operation. Although related to some useful sorts, Hitchens being the most notable, he was allowed to go off at 12/1 for a strong Ascot maiden on debut. However he ran above market expectations finishing a slightly unlucky 2nd to subsequent listed scorer Mappa Mundi. He didn't need to improve to break his maiden next time when slamming an over matched field by almost 5 lengths at Newmarket. The choice of Hanagan and has to be taken very seriously

Art Official- Looked a surefire winner when a narrow second to Coventry runner up Parbold on debut at York, but threw away a gilt edged chance when hanging across the course at Salisbury on second start. However seems more straight forward now having come second to a useful stablemate of Tanzeel on his third outing and winning his last two. Still narrowly taking a nursery off 84 is a long way from the form needed to win this and Hughes gets off today

Coulsty- The choice of Richard Hughes who comes here having finished 2nd off of top weight in a valuable York nursery. Looked a potential superstar when slamming the 95 rated Disko on debut but then ran a lifeless race when well fancied at Ascot, beaten nearly 10 lengths. Has bounced back to an extent when running with credit behind Astaire and Bunker before his run at York. Rated 2nd only to Ben Hall on ratings he has to be considered

Der Blaue Reiter- Well beaten in a seller on Tuesday

Mawfoor- Not seen since his Eighth place in the Coventry, but that and his form in two Maidens prior to the Royal meeting would give him every chance here. Can only assume he has had issues since and looks the third choice of  the Hamdan four on jockey bookings. Not to be written off though and if the market signals are encouraging he could be a player

Rossa Corsa- Highly tried inmate of Mick Channons who has ran with credit in group races. Probably ran his best race to date when dropped down to conditions class last time, when chasing home the progressive Lynn Valley at Goodwood. However has only won once in nine and that is enough to give him the swerve

Steventon Star- Early season speedster who has regressed since the better class of juvenile has come out to play. His form at that stage was so strong that he was sent off favourite to beat Rizeena in a listed contest at Sandown when a well beaten fourth. Hasn't been nearly as good since and not difficult to rule out in this field

Stormy Paradise- Two time winner from the Brian Meehan stable who finished fourth, a short head behind Coulsty, in a listed contest at Deauville last time. Bang there on the ratings and the choice of Dettori but still doesn't appeal as a win proposition

Khalice- Big improver from the Richard Fahey stable who arrives here seeking a hat trick. Was a weak nursery he won off 75 last time and will have to take another leap forward to get involved for all that he appears to be trainers number one. Not totally ruled out though and place possibilities at a big price

Finflash- Winner of a maiden at Chepstow on his sixth start, but looked well enough exposed prior to that. Can't have him at all

Foxy Clarets- Premier Yearling Stakes eighth who blotted his copybook with an erratic run at Sandown when evens favourite last time. Even forgiving him that it isn't difficult to look elsewhere today

Regiment- Major Cadeaux colt out of the prolific producer My First Romance who got his name on the family roll of honour when winning on second start at Catterick. Not so good the last twice though and was beaten a furlong on his last start behind Flying Bear. Impossible to recommend on the back of that performance

Stella Clavisque- A decent 2nd in France on penultimate start, he could only finish fourth as joint favourite in a Dunstall Park maiden last time. Unrealistic to think he could bounce back here

Azagal- Consistent filly, also knows how to win, who earned a rating of 95 for being beaten less than 3 lengths in the Lowther stakes. Likely that rating flatters her, the field finished in a bunch, but she gets in here off 8-4 and could go close receiving weight from all bar one of her rivals.

Toubogg Happy- Bottom weight for James Tate, who knows how to ready a juvenile better than most. Was aslo bottom weight when finishing 6th in the sales race at York last time and likely to be a similar finishing position at best for him today. Not a complete no hoper carrying 8-1 under De Sousa but still must rate an unlikely winner in a stronger field this time

Verdict- Fascinating renewal which looks as open as ever. The obvious starting point would be the strength of the Hamdan team in which all four of his could be given some sort of chance. Zaraee get the nod despite carrying 9-2 and having to improve on what he has shown so far. Wearing the black cap he is likely to be ignored by the market and may be good enough to spring a minor surprise. Of the numerous dangers his unexposed team mate Tanzeel appeals more than most, being the choice of the owners retained jockey and bringing a good level of form from his two maidens. Coulsty also deserves a mention after his effort last time and Khalice may be an outsider who outruns his odds

1 Zaraee
2 Tanzeel
3 Coulsty











Friday 6 September 2013

Hyperion Fillies Conditions Stakes




                                                    Hyperion Fillies Conditions Stakes
                                                               Ascot Saturday


A class two contest that is relatively new to the calendar having only been run the past two years. On both occasions Godolphin have taken the prize with a filly who has gone on to show useful form in Meydan, becoming 'classic' winners in the gulf

Adhwaa- Sheikh Hamdan filly who is best known for finishing second to many peoples top two year old Kingman. That six length beating flattered her and she is better judged on her last two runs when narrowly getting the better of the useful maiden Tinga before finishing midfield in a weak renewal of the Sweet Solera at Newmarket. A solid type but likely to find one or two too good

Casual Smile- By a Classic winner out of a Classic winner so bred to be good and the signs from her debut is that she may well be. She should come on plenty for that second on debut and will surely be suited by the extra furlong she encounters today. Very interesting runner, for all that this is a step up in class

Feeydah- Looked very useful on debut when accounting for subsequent winner Dancealot on the all weather at Kempton. She was stepped up to listed class next time, where she was slow from the gate and wide the whole way, doing well in the circumstances to finish fourth behind her stablemate Majeyda. Was then slightly disappointing when only seventh last time in a strong group three at Deauville on her last start. Back in calmer waters today, she can make her presence felt and extend her stables perfect record in this contest

Hot Coffee- Impressive on debut at Haydock but the form of that race has not worked out well at all. Went to France on second start finishing eighth, a short head behind todays rival Feeydah. Obviously not without a chance on form but i will pass her over today

Verdict- Trappy contest in which all four have legitimate claims but Feeydah is taken to maintain Godolphins 100% record in the race. The selection is taken to bounce back from a lacklustre run last time and confirm the promise she showed on her first two starts. The impeccably bred Casual Smile is the dark horse coming straight from maiden company and she rates the main danger. Adhwaa can get the better of Hot Coffee for third

Wednesday 4 September 2013

Dick Poole Fillies Listed Stakes





                                                Dick Poole Fillies Stakes [Listed]


 Listed stakes which is usually contested by some useful fillies, names of note include last years winner Winning Express who went on to finish second in the Cheveley Park stakes at Newmarket, following the path of Suez in 2004. Group one winners Serious Attitude and Margot Did have also taken in this race before going on to Glory at the top level in recent times. A field of six go to post this year with a couple who are likely to be aiming higher in the future

Alutiq- Likeable filly from the Eve Johnston Houghton yard who has won twice and acquitted herself well in group company since. Beaten only 2.5 lengths by Lucky Kristale she has to be considered on form, however  she is beginning to look exposed and likely to be minor honours at best today

Dorothy B- £130,000 filly by crack Australian Sire Fastnet Rock who has two runs so far for one victory. That was last time out when beating the 88 rated Hoku easily at Nottingham. She made a big jump from first to second start and whilst she has to step up on her bare form the feeling is she is more than capable of doing so. Still unexposed and a big player for her trainer who won this in 2003

Joyeuse- The form choice of the field and of course Frankels little sister. Defied slight unease in the market when readily winning in debut at Lingfield, the runner up has since proved herself useful, before heading to the Royal meeting for the Albany. Ran well to finish third that day, coming from an unpromising position in rear. Tom Queally, on board today due to James Doyles suspension, got a bit of stick but she couldn't go down as an unlucky loser. The form of the race has worked out really well and she has an obvious chance down in grade

Lamar- Winner of a decent maiden at Newmarket on second start who has ran two solid races in defeat in stakes company since. Her trainer continues to churn out juvenile winners but a suspicion she may lack to class to come out on top in this field

Libourne Lass- Money spinning filly from the Hannon yard who has so far earned over 4 times her purchase fee in her seven runs to date. However her form seems to have plateaued lately and she failed to take advantage of a good opportunity at Chester last time. Never out of the first three, and from connections who two year olds are always feared at this venue, but looks a notch below what will be required to win

Wedding Ring- Impressive on debut when beating subsequent Group winner Ihtimal who had the benefit of experience, but hasn't become the filly she looked she may that day. A creditable fifth in the Albany, 2.5 lengths behind Joyeuse, she was then dismissed by the reopposing Ihtimal in a Group Three last time. Her form is good enough to put her in the mix and her freshman trainer has an impressive strike rate with his two year olds but didn't show enough sparkle last time to suggest she can win this

Verdict- All eyes will be on Frankels sister Joyeuse who hasn't been seen in public since Royal Ascot and she is likely to start a short price. She is by no means unbeatable though and can be taken on with Dorothy B who although only a maiden winner is an impressive type. She readily beat a useful yardstick last time and can improve past the fillies with superior form in the book. Lilbourne Lass is likely to be ridden with black type in mind and can get Third ahead of Wedding Ring who hasn't progressed from her excellent debut in the manner that many thought she would

1 Dorothy B
2 Joyeuse
3 Lilbourne Lass