Friday 27 September 2013

Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes Group One





                                                           Cheveley Park Stakes


Group one race for the juvenile fillies which often is a good pointer for the following years 1000 guineas with recent French winners Natagora and Special Duty both returning a year later to complete the double

Alutiq- Admirable filly from the Eve Johnston Houghton stable who has had a busy year running seven times. Well beaten behind Joyeuse at Salisbury last time and no reason why she should reverse the form with that rival let alone win

Come To Heel- Unbeaten Irish raider who arrives here having beaten Hurryupharriet in a listed contest last time. That rival has since taken a decent listed contest at Ayr so the form has a solid look to it. Will have to improve but is unexposed and possibly has the scope to do so

Dorothy B- A beaten favourite on debut under considerate handling this £100,000 Exceed and Excel filly then readily beat the very useful Hoku, with the promising Online Alexander also in behind, on her second start at Nottingham. Stepped up to listed class last time she ran a super race, despite being largely ignored in the market, steaming home late, to run the re opposing Joyeuse to a neck. Whilst it would be dangerous to assume she was unlucky that day, my feeling is she is capable of reversing the form with that rival. Rates a lively outsider

Joyeuse- Frankel half sister who is carving out a reputation of her own having won two of three races to date. Narrowly got the better of the fast finishing Dorothy B in a listed company last time. She had previously finished third, beaten 3.5 lengths, behind Kiyoshi in the Albany. Ridden by James Doyle for the first time today and an unlikely winner for mine

Kiyoshi- Wildly impressive winner of the Albany, when winning easily despite drifting across the course. Didn't get away with that character fault last time in Ireland when put in her place behind Rizeena, finished 2nd demoted to 3rd, and must be a concern that the open spaces of Newmarket will not suit. Obviously loaded with talent but looks a risky proposition at a short price

Princess Noir- Winner of a weak maiden at Kempton on debut and then seemed to have her limitations exposed when well beaten in group company on her next two starts. Left that form way behind when springing a 25/1 shock in the Princess Margaret at Ascot, beating the useful yardstick Queen Catrine by 2.5 lengths. She got the run of the race that day, the runner up looked unlucky, and needs to improve again to take this. Gets the assistance of Johnny Murtagh and her trainer is currently enjoying a purple patch, so could run into a place but still looks an unlikely winner

Red Lady- Impressive winner on her second start, but well beaten in her other two trips to the track. Off for 99 days and rated 88 so not hard to look elsewhere

Vorda- French juvenile who only cost £9,000 as a yearling but that hasn't stopped her racking up an impressive resume having won  her first 3 starts before finishing second to the bull two year old No Nay Never in the Morny last time. That is the strongest piece of form in the race, had Rizeena almost a length in arrears, and with the French enjoying a good recent record in the race she looks the one to beat with Peslier on board

Verdict- A decent renewal but a race that looks at the mercy of  the flying French Filly Vorda. A winner of her three first starts she arguably ran her best race to date when second in the Morny, in which she had plenty of useful British juveniles behind her. Kiyoshi has quirks and can be passed over despite looking so impressive at the Royal meeting and Dorothy B can follow the selection home. She looks to be improving and can finish ahead of her Salisbury conqueror Joyeuse on this occasion. The rest look to be fighting out for minor honours and with the assistance of Johnny Murtagh Princess Noir can grab a place

1 Vorda
2 Dorothy B
3 Princess Noir

Thursday 26 September 2013

Aqlaam Oh So Sharp Stakes Group Three


           

                                                          OH SO SHARP STAKES
                                                                     Group Three


Gown- Charlie Hills inmate who was a fortunate winner of a Sandown nursery off of 72 on her penultimate outing. Was unable to win off 76 in a nursery on her most recent start and looks to be flying too high in this company

Lightning Thunder- Unbeaten filly who comes here having won a conditions race at Doncaster last time. The runner up that day Justice Day is a useful tool, albeit likely flattered by his OR of 101, and her performance can be upgraded as she had a difficult passage early on. Showed a good attitude to get up close home that day and very much respected back against her own sex

Midnite Angel- Richard Hannon juvenile who despite having won only one of her seven starts comes here with the arguably the strongest form in the book. Her seconds behind J Wonder and Ihtimal stand up to scrutiny in this field and although slightly disappointing last time she still ran with credit behind the potentially top class Amazing Maria. Rated 97 it is likely she will find one or two too good but should run her usual honest race

Miss France- Well bred Andre Fabre filly who arrives here on the back of a conditions race victory at Chantilly last time. Obviously difficult to weigh up that form, needs to improve on RPRs, but is trained by a master and doubtful she is coming over to make up the numbers. Very much one to take seriously with Mickael Barzalona on board

Radiator- The X factor of the field who routed her rivals by 15 lengths at Lingfield on her second start. Would be natural to assume that wasn't a great race but the second was only beaten 2.5 lengths by group placed Wedding Ring next time at HQ. From an incredible family and obviously has any amount of talent, but may be an all or nothing type, beaten 10 lengths on debut, and has to be opposed purely on value grounds here

Sleep Sioux- Winner of a Bath maiden on her fifth visit to the racecourse and highly unlikely to follow up here

Stealth Missile- Has contested two Ascot maidens finishing down the field on debut before springing a 25/1 surprise last time out. Not sure that was a strong maiden, for all that the fifth was an impressive winner on Wednesday. Looks like a classic example of Clive Brittain aiming too high

Suite- Debut winner who has had her limitations exposed since. Only 6th in her last two runs off of a mark of 88 she looks to be out of her depth in this company

Sweet Acclaim- From a mare who had produced four winners from four runners and who cost £100,000, so it was therefore surprising she was allowed to go off at 40/1 on debut at Yarmouth. That looked a decent maiden for the track, but she made it into a procession winning eased down. Likely she has been found a warm heat but definitely has potential and could run into a place at big odds

Verdict- A race that revolves around the impeccably bred Radiator who having won by a furlong last time is as short as 12/1 for next years 1000 guineas. However she was well beaten, when fancied, on debut and at the current odds has to be taken on. A credible opponent can be found in the shape of Lightning Thunder who is unbeaten and showed a willing attitude to win against the boys last time. Her trainer has been talking up a trip to Paris on Arc weekend and she will have to take this if she is to make the trip across the channel. Coming the other way is Miss France who is a very rare two year old runner on these shores for her faultless trainer and she has to be taken very seriously. Of the rest Sweet Acclaim looked useful on debut and can make the frame at rewarding odds

1 Lightning Thunder
2 Miss France
3 Sweet Acclaim


Wednesday 25 September 2013

Somerville Tattersalls Stakes Group Three



                                                 
                                                  Somerville Tattersalls Stakes

Seven furlong contest for the Colts which is often won by a useful sort, with top flight victors Havana Gold, Aussie Rules and Milk it Mick on the roll honour in recent times. This years renewal has lost some appeal with Berkshire instead taking in the Royal Lodge stakes on Saturday, but with a few unexposed talented juveniles it should still prove an informative contest

Brazos- Has a maiden win to his name after five starts and well beaten in stakes contests the last twice. Looks exposed and only rated 90 and has it all to do to win in this company, even allowing for in form connections

Cable Bay- The highest rated in the field having ran with credit on his last three runs all in group company. Was on the face of it slightly disappointing last time when well beaten by Outstrip, but only finished narrowly behind The Grey Gatsby and that form entitles him to be bang there in this field. Probably deserves to win a group race, but just leaves the impression that he isn't quite classy enough to get it done

Championship- The most intriguing runner in the field for the Hannon stable. Won the 'Coventry' maiden at Newbury and duly went to Ascot next time to tackle that race. Going off a strongly fancied 6/1 shot he was one of the first beaten, eventually beating only the 200/1 rag home. Obviously well thought of and obviously talented but it will take a leap of faith to fancy him here having not ran for 100 days

God Willing- Expensive juvenile who was a rare debutant winner for the Ed Dunlop team when triumphing at Newbury. The betting that day suggested he was forward enough to do himself justice, but it was still nonetheless a taking performance. Travelling comfortably throughout he was always doing enough to hold the runner up, who had the benefit of previous experience. The form of that race is solid enough for all that the Second has disappointed since. Worth this step up in class and although Spencer is on board today can't be ruled out

Mawfoor- Outran his odds when second behind stablemate Windfast, not seen since, before breaking his maiden on second start when defeating the useful Safety Check. Was quietly fancied in some corners for the Coventry where he ran a respectable Eighth behind War Command. Wasn't seen again until two weeks ago when running third in a messy sales race last time. That was a highly encouraging return and if he improves from it he would have an outside chance

Miracle Of Medinah- Has been a revelation for Mark Usher winning three times including at Listed level. Not so good the last twice and would need a career best by some way to take this

Nezar- Winner on debut before being worried out of it close home by an unbeaten Hannon Colt on second start. On his third start he was unlucky not to take the big pot at York when getting too far back before flying late to finish a never nearer third. The form of that race looks strong with the 5th that day Rufford, carrying the same weight as Nezar, finishing 2nd in last weeks Mill Reef stakes. Comfortably won a Chester nursery last time, when 15lb well in, and has a progressive profile. Every chance of bridging the gap to group winner and a big player here

Silent Bullet- Unbeaten Godolphin Colt who arrives here having won his two races to date. Readily beat a 72 rated animal on debut and then stepped up to conditions class when narrowly beating Safety Check in a messy three runner conditions race at Haydock. Probably had more in hand over his stablemate than the winning margin suggests and has to be considered for his all conquering stable

Verdict- An interesting renewal in which the obvious starting point would be Cable Bay. Rated 108 he has a level of form the others have yet to achieve, yet for all that it would be disappointing if he proved good enough. A chance is taken on Nezar, who despite having only won a weak nursery off of 81 last time has the profile of a progressive horse. Arguably unlucky not to be unbeaten after four runs he can take the step up in class in his stride. Championship is a difficult horse to assess following his long break and the unbeaten pair of God Willing and Silent Bullet could 'still be anything'

1 Nezar
2 Cable Bay
3 God Willing




Thursday 19 September 2013

Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes





                                                          Mill Reef Stakes Group Two


Group Two contest for the juveniles which usually produces a useful sort who will go onto excel between six furlongs and a mile in their classic season. Recent winners include Excellent Art, Dark Angel and Galeota. This years field includes some familiar rivals who have been slugging it out in group contests all year, with a couple of new shooters adding a new dimension to the picture

Anticipated- Early season speedster who has been on the go since April. He showed enough dash in two early season wins to go off favourite in the Windsor Castle, running with credit when finishing third. His last three runs have consisted of a narrow second to Brown Sugar sandwiched between two slightly disappointing efforts in France. Would be slightly underwhelming if he proved good enough

Cable Bay- Another who has danced a few dances at Group level since winning his maiden without taking first prize. Only ran a week ago when only third of four behind the impressive outstrip and although respected, joint highest rated in the field, the suspicion is he will come up slightly short once more

Complicit- Unexposed type who hails from a yard who is enjoying a renaissance with his juveniles this year. Made his debut in a traditionally strong Deauville maiden finishing sixth as favourite, albeit not beaten far. Went to Ripon next time when beating serial runner up Genuine Quality into second and although that form is way short of the standard required here, he was troublesome at the start and green throughout so can be judged a fair deal higher than the bare result. Place possibilities at a big price

Figure Of Speech- Only entry from Godolphin and well respected on that alone considering their record in these races this term. Impressive on debut when slamming 98 rated Whaleweigh Station by four lengths, he then was perhaps then unlucky when a narrow second in the July Stakes on his second go. Disappointing in his next two starts, he bounced back to something like his best when chasing home Brown Sugar on the all weather on last start. That form is among the best on show and he has to be a contender for his red hot team

Hot Streak- Impressive winner of his first two starts including a listed contest on second start. That was a weak race for the grade, main rival scratched, but he couldn't have done it more impressively. Therefore it was disappointing he couldn't run a bit better when only fifth behind Brown Sugar last time at Kempton. He may have been poorly drawn that day, but he still lacked the spark he showed on his first two starts. If bouncing back from that display he could be a dark horse in this back on turf

Rufford- Impressive winner of a York maiden on debut but slightly disappointing since. Only third behind Cool Bahamian at 4/7 on second start he then was beaten as favourite when only fifth in the DBS yearling premier stakes at York last time. If he couldn't win that he is unlikely to win this, and only rated 92 he looks up against it here

Shamshon- The X factor of the field who comes here unbeaten and highly rated after two facile victories on either side of the channel. Cost the Al Thani operation 420,000 guineas as a yearling and went some way to justifying his extravagant price tag when slamming an over matched field by five lengths hard on the steel. Had to work a bit harder when taking a listed contest at Deauville on second start, 88 rated Quator the only other UK raider was back in 7th, but asserted close home for a ready win. Expected to take the step up to group two company in his stride and the one to beat in my opinion

Supplicant- Consistent sort for Cheveley Park who has won three of six races to date but arguably ran to a higher level in his three defeats. Has been dropped down in class to get his head in front on his last two runs, since his traffic issues in the Molecombe, but needs to improve to complete the hat trick. More likely a place prospect than a win proposition for mine

Trading Profit- Left his debut run behind him when an impressive four length winner of a Windsor maiden last time. Had a few winners in behind that day but the form is held back by the 75 rated second. Takes a massive leap in class here and unlikely to be able to bridge it

Verdict- A race that revolves around Shamshon, with the rest key players appearing evenly matched and pretty much exposed. I firmly believe he can bridge the gap from listed class to take this before aiming for Group One honours before the end of the season. Figure of Speech, who bounced back to form last time, would appear the main threat, with Cable Bay another who looks to have an obvious chance of grabbing a place

1 Shamshon
2 Figure of Speech
3 Cable Bay



Monday 16 September 2013

Rachel Keatley Memorial Nursery Handicap




                                              300 Yarmouth 17th September
                                                   Nursery Class 4 0-85

A six runner nursery which looks to contain some useful types who could go on their way to better things, although they will do well to emulate Rebel Rebel who went on to finish second in the 2000 guineas having taken this in 2004

Dancealot- Decent sort who ran into two classy fillies on her first two starts, when finishing runner up on both occasions. Then took in a trio of races at Newmarket culminating in a win in a decent nursery off 73. Possibly flattered by the margin of defeat in a listed contest at Salisbury last time, winner under performed, rated 85 on the back of that and will have to produce a career best to take this giving weight to all her rivals

Ghaawy- Michael Stoute juvenile who was well thought enough to go off favourite in a Newmarket maiden on debut. Finished down the field on that occasion but showed plenty of promise when finishing third, beaten 3/4 length, to subsequent listed winner Chief Barker on his next go. Made no mistake on third start when breaking the maiden at odds on at Chepstow last time and comes here with a progressive profile. Very much Respected

If- Has a Brighton maiden to his name after four runs.Only third off this mark last time in a weaker looking nursery and looks up against it here

Solidarity- Godolphin inmate who was very well backed on debut at Sandown but fell out of the stalls and came home a remote seventh. Much improved on second start when he made winning comfortably over nine furlongs at Epsom. Had that race wrapped up a fair way from home, so the drop in trip shouldn't pose a problem. Looks potentially useful and could be nicely weighted here off 77, every chance he will be yet another two year old winner for the boys in blue

Newmarket Warrior- Michael Bell Colt who comes here having ran three solid races without threatening the judge. His middle run when placed behind the useful Expert was much his best and if he can reproduce that form he would have a chance. However on the balance of his form he is likely to find a few too good

Aspenbreeze- Rated 53 and runs here miles out of the handicap, looks outclassed

Verdict- A potentially useful field chasing the pitiful £3700 first prize and Solidarity looks best in at the weights for his red hot team. The betting suggested he was useful prior to his debut, but he was clueless throughout, trailing home a well beaten seventh. Improved a bundle when breaking his duck on his second start and must be every chance he is considerably better than a mark of 77. Dancealot is a likeable sort from a trainer who two year old's continue to do well but it is possible Ghaawy will prove more of a threat to the selection

1 Solidarity
2 Ghaawy
3 Dancealot




Friday 13 September 2013

At The Races Champagne Stakes



                                                Champagne Stakes Group Two


Seven furlong group two for the juveniles which has an impressive roll of honour with the likes of Lucky Story, Poets Voice and Toronado being recent winners of the race.

Anjaal- The only penalised runner in the race having won the Group Two July Stakes at Newmarket. That race is tricky to assess form wise with a couple of notable disappointments offsetting the subsequent group wins of the sixth and tenth. Needs respecting but likely that his 3lb penalty will prove too heavy a burden

Cable Bay- Charlie Hills colt who brings in a level of form which has garnished an official rating of 108. Second in the Richmond and Fourth in the Gimcrack he is likely to suffer the same fate here. Unlikely to be good enough for win purposes

Outstrip- One of the seemingly endless amount of group class juveniles in the Godolphin barn this year. Narrowly beaten by the potentially top class Toormore last time in the vintage stakes. Possibly got the run of the race that day but even if flattered, that is the strongest form in the field by some way. Every chance he could take another good prize for his all conquering team

Picks Pinta- Well punted winner of a rancid Brighton maiden last time, rated 69 and has stones to find to be competitive. Will pick up £1200 for finishing sixth though

The Grey Gatsby- £120,000 2yo who ran a race full of promise when besting the useful Brazos on debut at York. Was very green that day so it was a touch disappointing he didn't find enough improvement to take the Acomb on his second outing. Still looked a work in progress that day and likely we have yet to see the best of him. A big player if putting it all together

Treaty of Paris- Henry Candy colt who put his experience to good use when benefiting from a crafty front running ride when holding the strongly finishing The Grey Gatsby by a neck to take the Acomb last time. Seemed to have his limitations exposed the time before that when slammed by six lengths in a Newmarket Conditions race and will likely have his hands full attempting to confirm the form with the runner up today

Verdict- Yet another two year old group race this year which lacks a stand out candidate. Anjaal arrives as the only horse to have won at this level before but he is likely to have to improve on his July Stakes win in order to defy the 3lb penalty here. Godolphin have an insanely strong set of juveniles this year and Outstrip was only nabbed close home by Toormore last time and that form needs respecting. However a chance is taken on The Grey Gatsby who has shown an abundance of talent on his two runs to date but has also showed traits of greenness. He hit a flat spot before rallying last time when beaten a head by Treaty of Paris and gives the impression there is plenty more to come. If he unlocks the key to that talent today he will be mighty hard to beat

1 The Grey Gatsby
2 Outstrip
3 Treaty of Paris




Thursday 12 September 2013

Barrett Steel May Hill Stakes Group 2 Fillies





                                                               May Hill Stakes Group Two

Group Two for Two year old fillies which almost always produces a talented winner, having been won by Group One winners Kinnaird, Playful Act, Simply Perfect, Rainbow View, White Moonstone Lyric of Light and Certify in the last decade. Looks to be lacking a superstar this year but still a talented field nonetheless

Halljoy- Clive Brittain runner who has finished third on her three runs to date. Each of those runs were respectable and the winners of those races all look up to group class. Her trainers two year olds remain in great heart, however is still a maiden and would have to improve to take this.

Ihtimal- The class act of the field for connections who have won the past three running's of this race all with fillies who went on to take the Group One Fillies Mile on next start. An easy winner last time in group three company and a fine third in an extremely strong Chesham Stakes behind Berkshire the time before, she has extremely strong credentials. Tough to beat

Lady Lara- Four race maiden who made her debut at the Royal Meeting when midfield in the Albany. Has ran with credit since, finishing second to the useful Hot Coffee before again finishing midfield in a couple of group three contests. Needs to step up to break the maiden in this field

Lustrous- Unexposed filly from the Richard Hannon team who comes here straight from maiden company. Impressed that day at Salisbury when winning readily by two lengths. 82 rated horse finished in third beaten three lengths holds the form down to some extent but she done it nicely and could still be anything

Majeyda- Listed winner last time who wears the Godolphin white cap, she was wildly impressive when bolting up on debut. It was therefore slightly disappointing she couldn't bridge the gap to Listed class on her next start, finishing fifth albeit only beaten 1.25 lengths behind Fig Roll. Made amends in Listed company last time when impressing with her attitude when knuckling down to beat Qawaasem and represents a useful second string for her owners

Qawaasem- 100 rated filly who has yet to finish out of the frame in her 4 runs to date. Worried out of it close home by Majeyda on her penultimate start she then chased home the super impressive Amazing Maria last time at Goodwood. Nothing of that ones quality in here but still gives the impression she may not quite have the class for this level

Vivere- Montjeu filly from the O Meara yard who was a big eye catcher when a staying on third over seven furlongs at Ayr on debut. Winner has gone in again since and on pedigree should relish the extra furlong. Possibly significant that her shrewd trainer has come here on the back of that and could be a player at massive odds

Verdict

Ihtimal appeals as the most likely winner but a chance is taken on Vivere, who is related to a stack of useful middle distance horses, and looked useful when third on debut over a furlong shorter. Interesting that she comes here looking for black type rather than sticking in maiden company and she is capable of springing a big upset. Of the rest Godolphins second string Majeyda looks the most solid option emphasising the strength in depth that operation has in the juvenile department this year

1 Vivere
2 Ihtimal
3 Majeyda



Wednesday 11 September 2013

Wetherbys Hamilton Insurance £300,000, 2YO Stakes




                                                               £300,000 2YO Stakes

As you would expect for the money on offer this is a competitive heat with 22 juveniles chasing the £175,000 first prize. Whilst lacking a bona fide superstar this year, unlike in 2010 when Wooton Bassett took the pot, the big yards and the big owners are well represented

Morning Post- Promising on debut but has regressed since, won't be winning here carrying 9-2

Zaraee- First of four entries for Sheikh Hamdan and an interesting type having won 2 of his 3 races to date. Impressive on debut, albeit in beating a disappointing sort, he then went down narrowly to the useful Andhesontherun. A routine winner from two useful sorts at Chester last time, he has a progressive profile for a trainer who has his juveniles firing. Wears the black cap here and is ridden by Dane O'Neill so a chance he may fly under the radar. A big player

Tanseeb- Gets the green cap for the Hamdan team but is a likable sort and proved himself in a big field scenario when finishing second to Flying Bear, winner since, in a Goodwood Nursery last time. Likely to run his race without being quite classy enough

Ben Hall- The class angle of the race being the only runner with a three figure official rating. Achieved that in being beaten less than 3 lengths in the Richmond Stakes. Every chance that was a poor race for the grade, the first five all beaten next time out, and having only won a poor maiden to date he is opposable in this at the likely prices

Captain Bob- Four race maiden who is not without talent, but whose form has plateaued of late. Will probably be good enough to win a maiden down the line but his rating of 79 shows the improvement he needs to find to take this

Malachim Mist- Had no less than 7 winners in behind when breaking his maiden on second start at Goodwood. Although not out of the first two since he hasn't really kicked on from that display. Abandoned by Hughes and unlikely to have the toe of some of his rivals

Suzi's Connoisseur- Comes here on the back of a listed win at Baden Baden. Whilst it is often unwise to underestimate German form in general their juvenile scene on the whole is pretty weak. Better judged on his UK form which on balance would not be good enough

Tanzeel- Intriguing runner from the Charlie Hills stable who carries the first colours of the Hamdan operation. Although related to some useful sorts, Hitchens being the most notable, he was allowed to go off at 12/1 for a strong Ascot maiden on debut. However he ran above market expectations finishing a slightly unlucky 2nd to subsequent listed scorer Mappa Mundi. He didn't need to improve to break his maiden next time when slamming an over matched field by almost 5 lengths at Newmarket. The choice of Hanagan and has to be taken very seriously

Art Official- Looked a surefire winner when a narrow second to Coventry runner up Parbold on debut at York, but threw away a gilt edged chance when hanging across the course at Salisbury on second start. However seems more straight forward now having come second to a useful stablemate of Tanzeel on his third outing and winning his last two. Still narrowly taking a nursery off 84 is a long way from the form needed to win this and Hughes gets off today

Coulsty- The choice of Richard Hughes who comes here having finished 2nd off of top weight in a valuable York nursery. Looked a potential superstar when slamming the 95 rated Disko on debut but then ran a lifeless race when well fancied at Ascot, beaten nearly 10 lengths. Has bounced back to an extent when running with credit behind Astaire and Bunker before his run at York. Rated 2nd only to Ben Hall on ratings he has to be considered

Der Blaue Reiter- Well beaten in a seller on Tuesday

Mawfoor- Not seen since his Eighth place in the Coventry, but that and his form in two Maidens prior to the Royal meeting would give him every chance here. Can only assume he has had issues since and looks the third choice of  the Hamdan four on jockey bookings. Not to be written off though and if the market signals are encouraging he could be a player

Rossa Corsa- Highly tried inmate of Mick Channons who has ran with credit in group races. Probably ran his best race to date when dropped down to conditions class last time, when chasing home the progressive Lynn Valley at Goodwood. However has only won once in nine and that is enough to give him the swerve

Steventon Star- Early season speedster who has regressed since the better class of juvenile has come out to play. His form at that stage was so strong that he was sent off favourite to beat Rizeena in a listed contest at Sandown when a well beaten fourth. Hasn't been nearly as good since and not difficult to rule out in this field

Stormy Paradise- Two time winner from the Brian Meehan stable who finished fourth, a short head behind Coulsty, in a listed contest at Deauville last time. Bang there on the ratings and the choice of Dettori but still doesn't appeal as a win proposition

Khalice- Big improver from the Richard Fahey stable who arrives here seeking a hat trick. Was a weak nursery he won off 75 last time and will have to take another leap forward to get involved for all that he appears to be trainers number one. Not totally ruled out though and place possibilities at a big price

Finflash- Winner of a maiden at Chepstow on his sixth start, but looked well enough exposed prior to that. Can't have him at all

Foxy Clarets- Premier Yearling Stakes eighth who blotted his copybook with an erratic run at Sandown when evens favourite last time. Even forgiving him that it isn't difficult to look elsewhere today

Regiment- Major Cadeaux colt out of the prolific producer My First Romance who got his name on the family roll of honour when winning on second start at Catterick. Not so good the last twice though and was beaten a furlong on his last start behind Flying Bear. Impossible to recommend on the back of that performance

Stella Clavisque- A decent 2nd in France on penultimate start, he could only finish fourth as joint favourite in a Dunstall Park maiden last time. Unrealistic to think he could bounce back here

Azagal- Consistent filly, also knows how to win, who earned a rating of 95 for being beaten less than 3 lengths in the Lowther stakes. Likely that rating flatters her, the field finished in a bunch, but she gets in here off 8-4 and could go close receiving weight from all bar one of her rivals.

Toubogg Happy- Bottom weight for James Tate, who knows how to ready a juvenile better than most. Was aslo bottom weight when finishing 6th in the sales race at York last time and likely to be a similar finishing position at best for him today. Not a complete no hoper carrying 8-1 under De Sousa but still must rate an unlikely winner in a stronger field this time

Verdict- Fascinating renewal which looks as open as ever. The obvious starting point would be the strength of the Hamdan team in which all four of his could be given some sort of chance. Zaraee get the nod despite carrying 9-2 and having to improve on what he has shown so far. Wearing the black cap he is likely to be ignored by the market and may be good enough to spring a minor surprise. Of the numerous dangers his unexposed team mate Tanzeel appeals more than most, being the choice of the owners retained jockey and bringing a good level of form from his two maidens. Coulsty also deserves a mention after his effort last time and Khalice may be an outsider who outruns his odds

1 Zaraee
2 Tanzeel
3 Coulsty











Friday 6 September 2013

Hyperion Fillies Conditions Stakes




                                                    Hyperion Fillies Conditions Stakes
                                                               Ascot Saturday


A class two contest that is relatively new to the calendar having only been run the past two years. On both occasions Godolphin have taken the prize with a filly who has gone on to show useful form in Meydan, becoming 'classic' winners in the gulf

Adhwaa- Sheikh Hamdan filly who is best known for finishing second to many peoples top two year old Kingman. That six length beating flattered her and she is better judged on her last two runs when narrowly getting the better of the useful maiden Tinga before finishing midfield in a weak renewal of the Sweet Solera at Newmarket. A solid type but likely to find one or two too good

Casual Smile- By a Classic winner out of a Classic winner so bred to be good and the signs from her debut is that she may well be. She should come on plenty for that second on debut and will surely be suited by the extra furlong she encounters today. Very interesting runner, for all that this is a step up in class

Feeydah- Looked very useful on debut when accounting for subsequent winner Dancealot on the all weather at Kempton. She was stepped up to listed class next time, where she was slow from the gate and wide the whole way, doing well in the circumstances to finish fourth behind her stablemate Majeyda. Was then slightly disappointing when only seventh last time in a strong group three at Deauville on her last start. Back in calmer waters today, she can make her presence felt and extend her stables perfect record in this contest

Hot Coffee- Impressive on debut at Haydock but the form of that race has not worked out well at all. Went to France on second start finishing eighth, a short head behind todays rival Feeydah. Obviously not without a chance on form but i will pass her over today

Verdict- Trappy contest in which all four have legitimate claims but Feeydah is taken to maintain Godolphins 100% record in the race. The selection is taken to bounce back from a lacklustre run last time and confirm the promise she showed on her first two starts. The impeccably bred Casual Smile is the dark horse coming straight from maiden company and she rates the main danger. Adhwaa can get the better of Hot Coffee for third

Wednesday 4 September 2013

Dick Poole Fillies Listed Stakes





                                                Dick Poole Fillies Stakes [Listed]


 Listed stakes which is usually contested by some useful fillies, names of note include last years winner Winning Express who went on to finish second in the Cheveley Park stakes at Newmarket, following the path of Suez in 2004. Group one winners Serious Attitude and Margot Did have also taken in this race before going on to Glory at the top level in recent times. A field of six go to post this year with a couple who are likely to be aiming higher in the future

Alutiq- Likeable filly from the Eve Johnston Houghton yard who has won twice and acquitted herself well in group company since. Beaten only 2.5 lengths by Lucky Kristale she has to be considered on form, however  she is beginning to look exposed and likely to be minor honours at best today

Dorothy B- £130,000 filly by crack Australian Sire Fastnet Rock who has two runs so far for one victory. That was last time out when beating the 88 rated Hoku easily at Nottingham. She made a big jump from first to second start and whilst she has to step up on her bare form the feeling is she is more than capable of doing so. Still unexposed and a big player for her trainer who won this in 2003

Joyeuse- The form choice of the field and of course Frankels little sister. Defied slight unease in the market when readily winning in debut at Lingfield, the runner up has since proved herself useful, before heading to the Royal meeting for the Albany. Ran well to finish third that day, coming from an unpromising position in rear. Tom Queally, on board today due to James Doyles suspension, got a bit of stick but she couldn't go down as an unlucky loser. The form of the race has worked out really well and she has an obvious chance down in grade

Lamar- Winner of a decent maiden at Newmarket on second start who has ran two solid races in defeat in stakes company since. Her trainer continues to churn out juvenile winners but a suspicion she may lack to class to come out on top in this field

Libourne Lass- Money spinning filly from the Hannon yard who has so far earned over 4 times her purchase fee in her seven runs to date. However her form seems to have plateaued lately and she failed to take advantage of a good opportunity at Chester last time. Never out of the first three, and from connections who two year olds are always feared at this venue, but looks a notch below what will be required to win

Wedding Ring- Impressive on debut when beating subsequent Group winner Ihtimal who had the benefit of experience, but hasn't become the filly she looked she may that day. A creditable fifth in the Albany, 2.5 lengths behind Joyeuse, she was then dismissed by the reopposing Ihtimal in a Group Three last time. Her form is good enough to put her in the mix and her freshman trainer has an impressive strike rate with his two year olds but didn't show enough sparkle last time to suggest she can win this

Verdict- All eyes will be on Frankels sister Joyeuse who hasn't been seen in public since Royal Ascot and she is likely to start a short price. She is by no means unbeatable though and can be taken on with Dorothy B who although only a maiden winner is an impressive type. She readily beat a useful yardstick last time and can improve past the fillies with superior form in the book. Lilbourne Lass is likely to be ridden with black type in mind and can get Third ahead of Wedding Ring who hasn't progressed from her excellent debut in the manner that many thought she would

1 Dorothy B
2 Joyeuse
3 Lilbourne Lass