Friday, 30 May 2014
Profit and Loss Part Three
Profit and Loss Part Three
Ingleby Spring 9/2 [11/2] L -1.00 -1.00
Persun 4/6 [1/2] L -2.00 -2.00
Goring 5/1 [5/1] L -3.00 -3.00
Winter Queen 6/4 [7/2] L -4.00 -4.00
Caltra Colleen 11/4 [15/8] L -5.00 -5.00
Indian Keys 4/6 [8/11] L -6.00 -6.00
Vegas Rebel 3/1[7/2] L -7.00 -7.00
Clodovil Doll 6/4 [7/4] L -8.00 -8.00
Jimmys Girl 9/2 [4/1] L -9.00 -9.00
Tiggy Wiggy 5/2 [3/1] W -6.00 -6.00
Fruity 7/2 [11/4] L -7.00 -7.00
Brando 3/1 [7/4] L -8.00 -8.00
Majlaa 6/5 [11/10] L -9.00 -9.00
Kinematic 10/1 [4/1] L -10.00 -10.00
Amber Crystal 5/1 [9/2] L -11.00 -11.00
Lily Moreton 5/2 [9/2] L -12.00 -12.00
Subversive 5/2 [9/2] L -13.00 -13.00
Home Cummins 5/2 [4/1] L -14.00 -14.00
Burnt Sugar 5/2 [4/1] L -15.00 -15.00
Billy Slater 6/1 [5/1] L -16.00 -16.00
Steady Major 11/1 [33/1] L -17.00 -17.00
Free To Love 8/1 [16/1] L -18.00 -18.00
Emirates Challenge 4/1 [5/1] L -19.00 -19.00
War Envoy 11/10 [8/15] L -20.00 -20.00
Fuwairt 4/11 [4/11] W -19.63 -19.63
Effusive 7/2 [11/4] W -16.13 -15.88
Percy Alleline 2/1 [15/8] L -17.13 -16.88
Star Citizen 5/6 [4/5] W -16.30 -16.08
Mind of Madness 1/1 [5/4] L -17.30 -17.08
Al Fareej 6/4 [15/8] L -18.30 -18.08
Offshore 9/2 [5/1] L -19.30 -19.08
Dancing Moon 7/1 [5/1] L -20.30 -20.08
Denzille Lane 11/8 [5/6] W -18.93 -19.25
Golden Wedding 14/1 [16/1] L -19.93 -20.25
Astrelle 11/2 [9/1] L -20.93 -21.25
Aledaid 4/5 [8/15] L -21.93 -22.25
Fullon Clarets 4/1 [13/2] L -22.93 -23.25
Zeb Un Nisa 3/1 [2/1] W -19.93 -21.25
Baitha Alga 10/3 [15/8] W -15.60 -19.37
Mignolino 11/4 [7/2] L -16.60 -20.37
War Alert 5/4 [1/1] L -17.60 -21.37
Liberty Sky 11/2 [9/4] L -18.60 -22.37
Arelichinos Leap 11/8 [8/15] L -19.60 -23.37
Wolfofwallstreet 7/1 [13/2] L -20.60 -24.37
Little Palaver 5/4 [10/11] L -21.60 -25.37
Superlative 6/1 [9/4] L -22.60 -26.37
Black Granite 14/1 [9/2] L -23.60 -27.37
Tigrilla 6/5 [8/11] W - 22.40 -26.64
Hawkesbury 15/8 [11/8] L -23.40 -27.64
50-8-17-6 P/L -23.40
150-37-42-22 P/L -10.11
SP P/L -25.96
Saturday, 10 May 2014
Profit and Loss part two
Profit and Loss Part 2
Doohmah 11/8 R4 [4/5] W +1.19 +0.80
Moonraker 7/1 [9/2] W +8.19 +6.30
Wild Tobacco 9/4 [3/1] W +11.19 +9.30
Perardua 5/2 [7/2] L +10.19 +8.30
Pres Rapide 10/3 [2/1] L +9.19 +7.30
Oud Malakiy 4/1 [7/1] L +8.19 +6.30
Howlinforyou 1/1 [5/4] L +7.19 +5.30
Rocking The Boat 7/2 [5/2] L +6.19 +4.30
Triggers Broom 3/1 [15/2] L +5.19 +3.30
Be Bold 2/5 [1/3] W +5.59 +3.63
Realtra 5/4 R4 [4/5] W +6.53 +4.13
Bossy Guest 7/1 [5/1] W +13.53 +9.13
Fine Prince 10/3 [5/2] L +12.53 +8.13
Tiggy Wiggy 11/4 [4/1] L +11.53 +7.13
Mambo Paradise 11/4 [15/8] L +10.53 +6.13
Bronze Maquette 7/2 [11/4] L +9.53 +5.13
Ritas Boy 3/1 [3/1] L +8.53 +4.13
Dutch Party 8/1 [4/1] L +7.53 +3.13
Aledaid 7/4 [9/4] L +6.53 +2.13
Bacall 9/2 [11/4] L +5.53 +1.13
Secret Liason 11/4 R4 [7/4] W +7.32 +3.88
Indian Keys 8/1 [8/1] L +6.32 +2.88
Roosey 9/4 [7/4] L +5.32 +1.88
Flying Machine 5/4 [5/4] L +4.32 +0.88
Kool Kompany 5/4 [8/11] W + 5.57 +1.63
Groor 4/1 [5/1] L +4.57 +0.63
Meccas Mirage 2/1 [9/4] W +6.82 +2.88
Invincible Gold 7/1 [3/1] L +5.82 +1.88
Zeb Un Isa 8/1 [14/1] L +4.82 +0.88
Kibaar 8/13 [1/2] L +3.82 -0.12
Aktabantay 2/5 [1/4] L +2.82 -1.12
Dancing Moon 8/1 [3/1] L +1.82 -2.12
Jungle Cat 2/1 [5/2] L +0.82 -3.12
When Will It End 15/8 [5/2] L -0.18 -4.12
Calypso Beat 8/1 [10/1] L -1.18 -5.12
Denton Dawn 15/8 [15/8] L -2.18 -6.12
Estidhkaar 15/8 [5/4] L -3.18 -7.12
Percy Alleline 9/2 [9/2] W +1.32 -1.62
Dame Liberty 7/1 [16/1] W +17.32 +14.38
Lanai 13/8 [9/4] L +16.32 +13.38
Kasb 1/2 [4/9] L +15.32 +12.38
Revolutionist 14/1 [6/1] L +14.32 +11.38
Rockaroundtheclock 11/1 [6/1] L +13.32 +10.38
Pillar Box 6/1 [9/2] L +12.22 +9.38
Excentricty 6/4 [11/8] L +11.22 +8.38
Sea Wolf 15/2 [10/1] L +10.22 +7.38
Rocking The Boat 7/4 [7/4] L +9.22 +6.38
Don Ricardo 4/1 [9/1] L +8.22 +5.38
Among Angels 4/7 [1/2] W +8.79 +5.88
Bazzana 5/6 [4/5] W +9.62 +6.68
50-13-13-8
Total 100-29-25-16
P/L +13.29
SP P/L +3.68
Saturday, 5 April 2014
Profit and loss
Profit and Loss 2014
Tiggy Wiggy 15/8 [8/13] W +1.88 +0.62
Don Sigfredo 6/1 [3/1] L +0.88 -0.38
Fast Act 4/1 [7/2] L -0.12 -1.38
Earthquake 2/1 [13/10] L -1.12 -2.38
Patience Alexander W 7/4 [10/11] +0.63 -1.47
Jersey Bull 9/1 [14/1] L -0.37 -2.47
Sarista 6/1 [5/2] L -1.37 -3.47
Ko Cache 3/1 [11/4] L -2.37 -4.47
Magical Memory 5/2 [85/40] L -3.37 -5.47
War Paint 7/2 [7/2] L -4.37 -6.47
Portamento 9/2 [9/2] L -5.37 -7.47
Realtra 7/1 [6/1] L -6.37 -8.47
Mandarin Girl 7/2 [2/1] L -7.37 -9.47
Lacing 4/1 [2/1] L -8.37 -10.47
Mukhmal 10/1 [11/2] W +1.63 -4.97
Colour Catcher 4/1 [5/2] L +0.63 -5.97
Makin a Statement 14/1 [25/1] L -0.37 -6.97
Jersey Bull 5/1 [7/2] L -1.37 -7.97
Charlies Star 8/11 [R4] [4/11] W -0.79 -7.62
Magic Time 12/1 [7/1] L -1.79 -8.62
Makin A Statement 5/1 [11/4] L -2.79 -9.62
MacArthurs Park 5/2 [2/1] L -3.79 -10.62
Per Ardua 3/1 [9/2] L -4.79 -11.62
Sea Wolf 7/2 [7/2] W -1.29 -8.12
Sarista 6/4 [11/10] W +0.21 -7.02
Vimy Ridge 8/1 [9/1] L -1.21 -8.02
Dittander 11/8 [11/8] W +0.17 -6.64
Dougal 8/11 [5/4] L -0.83 -7.64
Doomah 5/2 [5/1] L -1.83 -6.64
Zuhoor Bayona 10/11 [8/11] W -0.92 -5.91
Moving Melody 9/2 [4/1] W +3.58 -1.91
Escalating 2/1 [13/8] W +5.58 -0.28
Just Marion 6/5 [11/10] L +4.58 -1.28
Montefalcon 11/4 [3/1] L +3.58 -2.28
Midterm Break 8/15 [1/3] W +4.15 -1.95
Granny Alice 11/8 [11/10] W + 5.53 -0.85
Al Ghuwariyah 4/6 [8/15] L +4.53 -1.85
Flying Machine 5/2 [4/1] L +3.53 -2.85
Kassbaan 13/2 [11/2] L +2.53 -3.85
Tiggy Wiggy 4/6 [8/11] W +3.26 -3.12
War Paint 3/1 [2/1] L +2.26 -4.12
Free Entry 6/1 [17/2] L +1.26 -5.12
Jersey Bull 7/2 [3/1] L +0.26 -6.12
Colour Catcher 11/10 [4/5] L -0.74 -7.12
Mukhmal 11/2 [6/1] W +5.26 -1.12
Dougal 1/2 [2/7] W +5.76 -0.83
Ballymore Castle 10/11 [5/6] W +6.67 -0.00
Falling Petals 10/1 [13/2] L +5.67 -1.00
Lanai 13/2 [8/1] L +4.67 -2.00
Elevator Action 7/2 [5/1] L +3.67 -3.00
50-16-12-8
P/L +3.67
SP P/L -3.00
Tiggy Wiggy 15/8 [8/13] W +1.88 +0.62
Don Sigfredo 6/1 [3/1] L +0.88 -0.38
Fast Act 4/1 [7/2] L -0.12 -1.38
Earthquake 2/1 [13/10] L -1.12 -2.38
Patience Alexander W 7/4 [10/11] +0.63 -1.47
Jersey Bull 9/1 [14/1] L -0.37 -2.47
Sarista 6/1 [5/2] L -1.37 -3.47
Ko Cache 3/1 [11/4] L -2.37 -4.47
Magical Memory 5/2 [85/40] L -3.37 -5.47
War Paint 7/2 [7/2] L -4.37 -6.47
Portamento 9/2 [9/2] L -5.37 -7.47
Realtra 7/1 [6/1] L -6.37 -8.47
Mandarin Girl 7/2 [2/1] L -7.37 -9.47
Lacing 4/1 [2/1] L -8.37 -10.47
Mukhmal 10/1 [11/2] W +1.63 -4.97
Colour Catcher 4/1 [5/2] L +0.63 -5.97
Makin a Statement 14/1 [25/1] L -0.37 -6.97
Jersey Bull 5/1 [7/2] L -1.37 -7.97
Charlies Star 8/11 [R4] [4/11] W -0.79 -7.62
Magic Time 12/1 [7/1] L -1.79 -8.62
Makin A Statement 5/1 [11/4] L -2.79 -9.62
MacArthurs Park 5/2 [2/1] L -3.79 -10.62
Per Ardua 3/1 [9/2] L -4.79 -11.62
Sea Wolf 7/2 [7/2] W -1.29 -8.12
Sarista 6/4 [11/10] W +0.21 -7.02
Vimy Ridge 8/1 [9/1] L -1.21 -8.02
Dittander 11/8 [11/8] W +0.17 -6.64
Dougal 8/11 [5/4] L -0.83 -7.64
Doomah 5/2 [5/1] L -1.83 -6.64
Zuhoor Bayona 10/11 [8/11] W -0.92 -5.91
Moving Melody 9/2 [4/1] W +3.58 -1.91
Escalating 2/1 [13/8] W +5.58 -0.28
Just Marion 6/5 [11/10] L +4.58 -1.28
Montefalcon 11/4 [3/1] L +3.58 -2.28
Midterm Break 8/15 [1/3] W +4.15 -1.95
Granny Alice 11/8 [11/10] W + 5.53 -0.85
Al Ghuwariyah 4/6 [8/15] L +4.53 -1.85
Flying Machine 5/2 [4/1] L +3.53 -2.85
Kassbaan 13/2 [11/2] L +2.53 -3.85
Tiggy Wiggy 4/6 [8/11] W +3.26 -3.12
War Paint 3/1 [2/1] L +2.26 -4.12
Free Entry 6/1 [17/2] L +1.26 -5.12
Jersey Bull 7/2 [3/1] L +0.26 -6.12
Colour Catcher 11/10 [4/5] L -0.74 -7.12
Mukhmal 11/2 [6/1] W +5.26 -1.12
Dougal 1/2 [2/7] W +5.76 -0.83
Ballymore Castle 10/11 [5/6] W +6.67 -0.00
Falling Petals 10/1 [13/2] L +5.67 -1.00
Lanai 13/2 [8/1] L +4.67 -2.00
Elevator Action 7/2 [5/1] L +3.67 -3.00
50-16-12-8
P/L +3.67
SP P/L -3.00
Friday, 8 November 2013
Criterium De Saint Cloud 10 Furlongs [Group 1 Colts and Fillies]
Criterium De Saint Cloud
Hartnell- Son of Authorized who has finished in the first two in his last five races. Relishes soft ground and has already won over the ten furlongs, albeit in an egg and spoon race, so conditions are perfect. Only rated 97 though and will have to step up on what he has shown to take this Group One contest
Surspenders- Three race maiden who went down by half a length in a mile contest at Longchamp last time. His pedigree suggests he is a potential improver for the extra distance, but still rates a most unlikely winner
King Rubi- Son of Green Tune who was a 100,000 Euro yearling, and is a half brother to the useful More Than Sotka who raced for the same trainer owner combination, although he was campaigned at the Dubai Carnival by David Marnane. So far succesful only in a polytrack seller, and was found out at listed level the last twice, he would appear to have a lot to find to make an impact in this field
Bal De France- Beaten a neck over Ten Furlongs last time at Angers, which suggests he will not be winning this for his Japanese trainer
Rapido- German raider for trainer Andreas Lowe who won on his only start at Strasbourg over ten furlongs on soft ground. Heavy ground no concern and distance clearly not a worry, the dams two black type performers best at 10F+, and could be a player at rewarding odds for well respected connections
Prince Gibraltar- Rock Of Gibraltar Colt who was a decent third behind Criterium International runner up Earnshaw on debut, before making no mistake on second start when easily taking a Maisons-Laffitte maiden at cramped odds. Those runs were in the care of Henri-Alex Pantall, but he has since been transferred to the barn of last years winning trainer Jean Claude Rouget. Gets Soumillon on board for the first time and everything looks there for a big run. The distance shouldnt be an issue, his full brother won over 15F, and he probably rates the best of the home team
Dylan Boy- Dylan Thomas colt who became the 7th foal that his mare has produced with a three figure RPR when 4th behind the aforementioned Earnshaw in a Group Three at Saint Cloud last time. Distance would appear well within his capabilities and gets Peslier on his back today, but still looks to fall a fair bit short of the required quality to take this
Mekong River- Aiden O Brien representative who bids to give his trainer a fifth win in this contest since 2001. Unbeaten in four and regally bred, dam a two time group one winner, he looks to have a lot in his favour. Won a listed contest over 9 furlongs only 6 days ago, but did it so easily that is unlikely to have left a mark. Looks to have a strong chance of enhancing his trainers excellent record in the race. The one to beat
Shankly- Monsun Colt who is a recent purchase for Qatar racing limited and arrives here having won on his only start to date at Salisbury in September. His dam was a listed winner over middle distances, also a half to champion hurdle winner Katchit, so he is bred to relish this extended 10 furlongs. The form of his maiden win is weak in the context of this race, runner up rated a flattering 82, but he was green throughout and never stronger than at the line, so can be rated a far bit better than the bare form. His trainer was originally quoted as saying that was him done for the year, but the new owners recent purchase has obviously changed that outlook. Wouldn't want to come in here as an afterthought and for that reason i will give him the swerve
Laugharne- Authorized Colt who was an impressive winner on soft ground at Goodwood last time over 9F. Breeding suggests this trip will be well within his compass and interesting Roger Charlton aims this high so soon after his maiden victory. Gets crack local jockey Maxine Guyon on board and could be one for each way players at decent odds
Free Port Lux- 220,000 Euro son of Oasis Dream who is pointed here having won on debut at Longchamp over 9F on soft ground. His Monsun sired dam was high quality racemare taking in a Grade One in the US and a Group Two in France over middle distances. Very interesting contender for his in form team and a definite player
Bereni Ka- Only filly in the line up and the most experienced galloper who will be making her 8th trip to the racecourse today. 4th in a Group Three over a mile last time, she would appear to need a fair bit more than her 3lb fillies allowance to contend in this field
Verdict- This race is always a searching test of stamina for a juvenile and you genearlly need a horse who is a likely to need 12F as a 3yo. Mekong river fits the bill being by Galileo and who posted a career best over 9F at Leopardstown on his most recent start. Factor in his trainers excellent record in the race and he looks tough to beat. The main dangers appear to be French based with last time out winners Prince Gibraltar and Free Port Lux both looking Colts of potential
1 Mekong River
2 Prince Gibraltar
3 Free Port Lux
Thursday, 24 October 2013
Scott Dobson Memorial Doncaster Stakes [Listed]
Scott Dobson Memorial Doncaster Stakes
Stubbs- Danehill Dancer Colt out of Irish Oaks winner Moonstone. Was a beaten favourite in the Coventry Stakes having won his two races before that and the form of all three races does look slightly questionable. However this looks a suitable opportunity to get back on track after a four month break. Likely to enjoy the drop back to Listed class and looks the one to beat despite shouldering a 3lb penalty
Aeolus- By Araafa but still an impressive winner of his last two by a total of ten lengths. The runner up from his last victory has since franked the form with two facile victories, the lastest when defying a mark of 92 in a Newbury nursery. Clearly on the upgrade and cannot be ruled out for all that he will need a career best
Brave Boy- Two time winner who looked a useful sort when winning back to back races at Nottingham on his second and third starts. Was slightly disappointing on his all weather debut, bred for the surface, on his penultimate start. Before running okay without threatening the first two, winner useful, on his last start in the Rockingham. Connections reach for the visor today and it will have to eek out some improvement if he is to go close here
Deeds Not Words- Like so many from the stable has been very busy in his first year of racing. Looked ordinary on his first 6 starts before improving 20lbs when rattling off a hat trick on firm ground. Stepped up in class when taking in the Listed Two Year Old Trophy last time but finished well down the field. Always possible to forgive a poor run in that race, but still looks up against it against this opposition
Night of Thunder- Dubawi Colt out of a Galileo mare and looked to relish the conditions when a wide margin winner of a soft ground maiden at Goodwood on debut. Travelled like a good horse that day and it is unsurprising he steps up in class here. Likely to enjoy the ground conditions and would be foolish to underestimate
Rufford- The highest rated horse in the field who ran his best race by a margin on penultimate start when 2nd in the Mill Reef, his only start in soft ground to date. Was below that form last time when behind Brave Boy under faster conditions in the Rockingham. Ground should be ideal but still likely to be overbet for a horse who has only a maiden victory to his name
Verdict- Stubbs may have some questions to answer having not ran in over 4 months and having to shoulder a 3lb penalty against some useful rivals. But it must not be forgetten that he was Ballydoyles number one going into the Coventry and went off a short priced favourite for that race when finishing a respectable 6th. Dropping down in class here he can shoulder his listed winners penalty and get his career back on track. Once raced Night of Thunder may prove the biggest danger, especially if it comes up soft. Brave Boy can prove best of the rest
1 Stubbs
2 Night of Thunder
3 Brave Boy
Horris Hill Stakes Group Three [Colts and Geldings]
Horris Hill Stakes Group Three
Group Three which has struggled to produce a top class Colt since Tirol took the race in 1989 before going on to do the English-Irish Guineas double the following year. Other notable winners include Kris and Efisio. This years renewal looks a decent affair with five runners coming here having won on their last outing and one potential star arriving from across the channel
Anticipated- Winner of his first two races, but has been unable to win in his last six. His best run was a close up 2nd in the Molecomb and looks unlikely to improve for this step up to seven furlongs. Although rated 106 not difficult to pass over
Cordite- A wide margin winner of a soft ground Leicester maiden on his third start. That was his first start at 7 furlongs and so still can still rate unexposed. Interesting that his shrewd trainer is willing to sacrifice a mark of 85 to come here, but still looks to have it all to do
Day of Conquest- Two time winner who potentially ran into a good one when second to Scotland over 9 furlongs at Epsom last time. Readily beat 99 rated Safety Check the time before on the all weather and can be given a squeak in this
Extra Noble- Sir Percy Colt who has won twice and finished second from his 4 runs to date. Showed a smart turn of foot when taking a Kempton nursery off of 85 last time and deserves this step up in class. Still going to need a career best by some margin to become a group winner here
Galiway- Well bred Galileo Colt from the Andre Fabre stable. Only got up by a short neck on debut at Saint Cloud but was well in command under a cheeky ride. Master trainer always to be feared on his UK raids, and his first two year old runner here in years, Miss France was an impressive winner at Newmarket last month. Olivier Peslier comes over for the ride and everything points to a massive run. Surely must rate the one to beat
Invincible Strike- Expensive Colt from the James Tate stable who is arguably unlucky not to be unbeaten, having hung his chance away last time. Looked a useful sort on debut when comfortably beating the 85 rated Quickaswecan and could run well here at a price
Kickboxer- Suitably busy Mick Channon inmate who is making his 11th start of the campaign. His 3rd in the Cornwallis is easily his best piece of form and he comes here having been well beaten in a nursery off 79 last time. Really has no chance
Lyn Valley- Looked to be an improving sort before coming unstuck when stone cold last in the £100,000 sales race at Newmarket. Has to bounce back from that performance and his trainer continues to be in desperate form. On all known factors, looks up against it
Morning Post- Kevin Ryan Colt who arrives here having won nearly £200,000 after taking the Doncaster sales race and coming third in the valuable Two Year Old Trophy at Redcar on his last start. The former was his only run over todays distance but that looks a rare positive for his chances. Lacks the class to contend in this field
Piping Rock- Unbeaten Dubawi Colt who is two for two having taken a valuable newcomers maiden at Ascot on good ground before sploshing through the mud when taking a novices event at Salisbury by 4 lengths last time. Hard to weigh up both pieces of form but there is every chance he is a useful sort. Looks the pick of the Hannon trio and possibly the main threat to the French challenger
Trading Rock- Wide margin winner of a match at Leicester on his last start. Had ran with credit in stakes races the two times before that which has earned him a three figure rating. Possibly flattered by that mark and probably not good enough to be considered for win or place purposes
Verdict- Useful looking field but a prize that is likely for export over the channel. The well bred Galiway is the Colt in question and although he has only won an unraced maiden he still looks the horse to beat. The home challenge has a few useful sorts with the unbeaten Piping Rock probably rating the best. Day of Conquest and Invincible Strike also warrant a mention
1st Galiway
2nd Piping Rock
3rd Day of Conquest
Monday, 21 October 2013
Racing Post Trophy [Group 1]
Racing Post Trophy
The most reliable of trials for providing Derby clues in recent years. With Motivator, Authorized and Camelot all doing the double since 2004. Aiden O Brien has been the dominant trainer in recent times taking out three of the past four renewals and he has three Colts entered. This years field looks a cracker, even with absence of Toormore, with numerous unexposed juveniles looking to make the step up to Group One level
Altruistic- Ridden and trained by 'Saturday kingpin' Johnny Murtagh, this Galileo Colt arrives here with one win from his two starts. That was on debut but he improved on that last time when beaten 2 lengths by the impressive Geoffrey Chaucer at the Curragh. Finished just behind useful yardstick Oklahoma City on that occasion and judged on that form he will have to improve to take a hand at the finish
Buanorotti- Third foal from the Group 2 winning sprinter Beauty is Truth, who has already produced 2 Group winners from her 2 runners to date. This one will likely keep that record intact judging on his nine length romp from a subsequent winner at Tipperary last time. Possibly not in this company though and the early betting suggests he is the third string of the O Brien team. Cannot be totally dismissed but has to be considered an unlikely winner
Century- Looks to be the Ballydoyle chosen one as they look to improve their superb recent record in the race. His dam was a Group Three winner over six furlongs for Alan Jarvis, but judging on his debut a mile will prove his minimum distance. He impressed many that day, when bounding clear of a well regarded John Oxx Colt. Has a very attractive profile for this and has to enter calculations, bidding to give his sire a 5th winner of this race since 2004
Chief Barker- Unbeaten Colt who arrives here seeking a 4 timer for owners Middleham Park. Always seem to do just enough, he has won his three races by a total distance of a length, and had to re rally to keep his unbeaten record intact last time. However that form has since been well boosted by the runner up that day since bolting up in the Group One Fillies Mile. Still the suspicion is that he will need to improve if he is to join his team mate Toormore in becoming a top level winner this year
Dolce N Karama- Thistle Bloodstock maiden who is running here primarily to show off the owners Stallion The Carbon Unit. Will most likely do this by finishing last under Tadgh O Shea
Johann Strauss- High Chapparal colt whose coveted name and eye catching entries ensured he was hyped well before he made his debut in a Newmarket maiden. Was only 4th that day but was a massive eye catcher, coming from well off the pace to finish a never nearer 2.25 lengths in arrears. Was long odds on to break the maiden next time at Naas, but took an age to pick up before rallying late and was narrowly denied by the 96 rated Sniper. Really hard one to judge and he has been sneakily backed over the past few days, couldn't rule out a massive run but also couldn't rule out a terrible one. Definitely the enigma of the race
Kingston Hill- Unbeaten Colt from the in form Roger Varian stable who arrives here having won the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket in impressive fashion. That was a really likeable display, having been nudged along at halfway, he was brave in finding the gaps and came away for a ready success. The runner up Oklahoma City is decent, but would not be in the higher echelons of the O Briens juveniles. Respected, but looks plenty short enough in the market
Pinzolo- Monsun Colt who has made a tremendous impression on his two runs to date. Appeared to be the stable second string on debut when hosing up at Newmarket, runner up a winner by 8 lengths in a conditions race on Thursday. And then travelled all over his rivals in a decent five runner conditions event at Newbury last time. Only narrowly got up that day under a poor ride, and the collateral form through Pupil would have him behind Kingston Hill, but he can be rated a fair bit better than the winning margin. Looks to have a touch of speed about him despite his stout breeding and looks a massive runner here
Snow Sky- A wide margin winner of a Heavy ground maiden at Salisbury last time who has been supplemented for the race. That was a poor enough race, the runner up has since been beaten by further, and this looks far too tough. Priced up on connections rather than form and can be readily discounted
Somewhat- Consistent juvenile from the Mark Johnston team who ran a career best last time when narrowly going down to Berkshire in the Royal Lodge. That was a good run, although likely that it flattered him and it would be something of a disappointment should he prove good enough to win. Trainer form also a massive concern
The Grey Gatsby- Impressive winner on debut but has had his limitations exposed in better company since. Readily put in his place by Dewhurst also ran Outstrip last time and it would be a surprise if he could add to his trainers victory in 2005
Verdict- Super race in store and more than likely a massive pointer for next years classics. The selection is Pinzolo who has looked potentially top class is his two runs to date. The runner up from his debut performance payed a handsome compliment to the form on Thursday and he looks to have the correct blend of speed and stamina required to take this race. Century has to respected as the apparent number one from Ballydoyle, but he seems to lack the 'quotes' of some of their previous winners. Kingston Hill was impressive in the Autumn Stakes whilst Chief Barker beat a Group One winning filly on his most recent outing and both are respected . Of the rest Johan Strauss has had more column inches than his shorter priced stablemate and could go well at a price
1 Pinzolo
2 Johan Strauss
3 Century
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