Friday 30 August 2013

Solario Stakes 240 Saturday Sandown




                                                                      Solario Stakes
                                                                      Group Three


Only four runners but likely to be an informative contest with current 2000 Guineas favourite Kingman taking his place in the field. A race that is usually won by a good colt, although it hasn't been a great pointer towards the classics of late and the only top notcher to emerge in the last decade was Ravens Pass for John Gosden back in 2007.

Emirates Flyer- Solid horse who has won two of his four starts to date with his two defeats being registered in Group Company. Probably ran his best race when fifth to the crack US juvenile No Nay Never at the Royal meeting when beaten under three lengths. Wears the white cap for Godolphin and although that isn't always the best guide it is fair to assume he is their second string here. Very much up against it even if he is running on his own merit

Kingman- Half brother to the progressive stablemate Remote who was an uber impressive winner on debut when destroying his field in a Newmarket maiden. He has since become ante post favourite for next years 2000 Guineas and has been proclaimed as the second coming by his legions of fans. Was visually stunning that day and the second and third horses have won since to firm up the form. The most likely winner but also likely to very poor value

Music Theory- Godolphin Gelding who has won two of his three starts to date. Ran a race full of promise first up when second behind  odds on stablemate Brave Boy, before dismissing a good colt of Roger Varians next time. That was a serious performance and he drew right away at the line. Unsurprisingly stepped up to seven furlongs last time he handed at a nine length beating to a horse rated in the mid eighties at odds of 1/5. A very useful animal and likely to give it a good go against Pegasus

Rosso Corsa- Mick Channon colt who comes here on the back of a creditable fourth in the Vintage stakes at Goodwood. That was a career best by a long way and likely to need another career best by a long way to take this. No real chance

Verdict- Shame there is only four runners but at last the return of Kingman who made a serious impression when last seen at Newmarket over two months ago. Whilst standing in his box he has become ante post favourite for the Guineas as other protogonists have faltered. He is the most likely winner but he can be taken on at the prices with Music Theory who comes here having impressed in his last two starts at HQ. Likely to be around 4/1 with Kingman long odds on he is worth a token bet to down the hype horse

1 Music Theory
2 Kingman
3 Emirates Flyer

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