Wednesday 3 July 2013

Thursday 250 Haydock. The float glass industries EBF maiden fillies stakes Class 5 over 6F


                                                      Thursday 250 haydock
                                    The float glass EBF maiden fillies stakes class 5 over 6f


There are five 2 year old maidens running today, all of which could be described as interesting. I am going to focus on the 12 runner 250 at Haydock, which has the potential to be a decent contest

Flycatcher- from the Richard Fahey stable which continues to fire out numerous juvenile winners, having has a slow enough start to the season. A well bred daughter of Medicean out of a mare who has produced 6 winners, 4 of whom won at two, with two up to collecting black type. The sire is capable of producing speedy juveniles and the dam, a winner over 5 furlongs at 2, appears able to inject some speed into her progeny. One of the more likelier types on paper

Good Morning Lady- a relatively cheap purchase at £10,000 by Compton Place. She is related to five winners, the best being Sirocco Breeze who was a decent performer at the Dubai Carnival of 2010. The dam was a winner herself and is very well related, being a half sister to the dam of two time group one winner Anabaa. Her trainer isn't having the best season with his juveniles-operating at 9%- but is always respected in Northern maidens of this type.

Hot Coffee- a £20,000 purchase for a trainer who does very well at this track with his juveniles-SR of 22% for a P/L of + £42.00. By Haatef out of a mare who has already produced 4 winners, albeit moderate types, from her six foals. Respected due to the trainers stats at the course and has possibilities for the place money

Lady Lara- Excellent Art filly who was highly tried on debut in the Albany at Royal Ascot. Ran really well in the circumstances finishing eighth of nineteen and finishing only 5 lengths off the runner up Sandiva. If the form is to be taken literally she would have a major chance. But i find backing horses who made their debuts in such exalted company on second start is not a profitable tactic. Likely to be well found in the market and not for mine on this occasion

Mumtaza- by Nayef, out of the group one winning juvenile and classic winner Natagora, this filly is certainly bred to be handy. Her full sister Rayaheen won a weak race on debut over 6 furlongs before struggling thereafter when stepped up in class. The trainer is obviously known for his talent in these contests and does particularly well for this owner in them. Obviously of massive interest given her profile and has to be on the shortlist

Omanome- An Acclamation filly who cost connections £45,000. No immediate promise on debut when always in rear beaten 8 lengths by Spiceupyourlife at Ripon two weeks ago. Trainer is always to be respected but this one has to make a big leap from first run to second if she is to get involved

Realistic- By freshman sire Virtual, who is already on the board with a winner, this filly is a half sister to Coventry Third St Barths. Cost £30,000 and the trainer is highly regarded as a trainer of juveniles so enough to like on paper. However you would have to think if it was ready to win on debut Michael Stainton would not have got the leg up. Possibly a horse to keep an eye on although unlikely to win this

Romantic Bliss- By Holy Roman Emperor. Was a cheap foal at £5,000 and unsold at £5,500 as a yearling. From a stable that know how to win these races but this one is unlikely to add to their tally

Setai- Dubawi filly who cost owner Andrew Rosen £50,000 and is housed in the Brian Meehan stable. The dam was useful on the track, listed winner over 8f, and has had success in the breeding shed too, producing 3 winners from 5 foals. The Trainers juveniles are known for improving from debut but a few of his have been running well first time out this year. Fallon gets the leg up which is a positive and it will be interesting to see what position she takes up in the market

Souville- a half sister to the disappointing Bircham this filly is by Dalakhani and would look likely to need a stiffer test than the 6 furlongs on offer here. Her trainer Chris Wall has a meagre strike rate with his two year olds operating at just 6% in the last 5 years. Looks an unlikely winner and readily passed over

Sukari Gold- beaten 18 lengths when last on debut, yet another disappointment for a trainer who is having a very poor time with his two year old's- 2/9 shot turned over recently, season SR of 8%- and this one is unlikely to arrest the slide.

Volodina- by Soviet Star and the 5th foal of a dam who has already produced 4 winners. Has not ran without promise but has still suffered 2 heavy defeats. Trainer struggles for winners in this sphere and looks one for low grade nurseries already

All eyes are likely to be on Mumtaza being the second foal by 1000 guineas winner Natagora. However she is likely to be well found in the market, which will hopefully offer a bit of value on the selection Flycatcher who is also very well bred. Hannon has had the upper hand over Fahey in recent juvenile races up north but hopefully Flycatcher can get one back for the Irishman. Of the rest Hot Coffee is of interest for a trainer whose two year old's often do well here

1 flycatcher
2 mumtaza
3 hot coffee

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